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Sunday, March 01, 2015

Breakthrough in the P 5+1 talks with Iran?

@Haaretz 's @BarakRavid has details on why a deal between the P 5+1 and Iran might be possible.
The Iranians surprised the representatives of the six powers when they presented their own alternative proposal, the diplomats said.
That proposal included, for the first time, concessions regarding their stockpile of enriched uranium, as well as a bid to cut the number of old-generation centrifuges by one third.
The Iranians proposed they keep 6,000 centrifuges out of the 9,400 for the first 10 years of the agreement, and keep 500 kilograms of their low-enriched uranium, or, alternatively, to operate 6,500 centrifuges and only retain 300 kilograms of their low-enriched uranium, the diplomats said. After 10 years, with only five years left on the agreement, the Iranian proposal would gradually increase the number of centrifuges to the number they have today, the diplomats added.
But proponents of a deal should not be celebrating just yet.
However, among the unresolved issues is the Iranian demand that all sanctions be lifted immediately upon signing the agreement, whereas the United States and the other powers want the sanctions lifted gradually if Iran is seen to be meeting its obligations.
Another stumbling block is Iran’s continuing refusal of the world powers’ demand to fully open all aspects of its military nuclear program to inspection by the International Atomic Energy Commission.
The diplomats say that, considering the issues still in dispute, it is difficult to imagine the parties coming to an agreement by March 30. If such an agreement does emerge, because of an Iranian and American need to show progress, it will be a general document of principles only and will not include details on the outstanding bones of contention.
Meanwhile, Iran apparently has no intention of giving up.
Iran's Revolutionary Guard on Friday announced it has test fired a "new strategic weapon" in the final day of a large-scale naval and air defense drill, saying the system would play a key role in any future battle against the United States.

The claim was a new show of force by Iran just weeks ahead of a deadline for reaching a deal over its nuclear program with the U.S. and other global powers.
Iran announced the test on the final day of military drills it is calling "Great Prophet 9." The exercises are being held near the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic waterway through which about a fifth of the world's oil passes.
Iran often holds live-fire war games and frequently boasts of advances in its weaponry that cannot be independently verified. The latest drill, which included a simulated attack on an American aircraft carrier, appears to be aimed at sending a message that Iran has no intention of backing down to the U.S. in the nuclear talks.
Adm. Ali Fadavi, the Republican Guard's naval chief, said the new weapon would be critical in any future naval war against the U.S.
Of course, strategic weapons aren't part of the P 5+1 negotiations.

I want to go back and address Barak Ravid's last line:
“The challenge is for those who oppose the agreement like Netanyahu. They must present an alternative that will produce better results,” a senior U.S. official said over the weekend.
Really? Silly me. I thought even Obama believed that no deal is better than a bad deal

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Friday, November 01, 2013

Israel: US causing us damage

This is Friday's front page of Yedioth Aharonoth, Israel's largest paid daily newspaper:

Translation: "Israel: United States is causing us damage." (Thanks to Oren Kessler for posting. Saw this in a taxi this morning and have been looking to post it ever since).

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Video: Israel Radio anchor slams US for disclosing Israeli strike on Syria

There's a lot of anger at the United States in Israel this morning, because the Obama administration has once again told the world that Israel is responsible for a strike on Syrian weapons being transferred to Hezbullah. This is Israel Radio's Aryeh Golan, the anchor of the drive time news hour. The tape is in Hebrew but there's an English translation.

Let's go to the videotape.



Barack Hussein Obama is Israel's enemy. There is no more pretense. That's the explanation for why his administration is doing this. If only the Israeli government (which pays Golan's salary) would admit it....

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Thursday, October 31, 2013

And again: Obama administration confirms Israeli attack on Syrian arms supply

This isn't the first time that American officials have confirmed an Israeli strike on Syrian arms supplies to Hezbullah in the face of Israeli silence, and if the previous time is any indication, Israeli officials are going to be awfully ticked off about it.

This is from the second link.
Israel conducted air raids against a Syrian missile base near the port city of Latakia on Thursday night according to a leak by an anonymous US administration official, speaking to CNN.

The US official said that Israel targeted missiles and related equipment out of fear that they would be transferred to Hezbollah.

It is unclear why the US would leak such information as it could put more pressure on Syria to retaliate against Israel.
It's unclear? It's awfully clear to me: Obama is our enemy!

Meanwhile, al-Arabiya is reporting details of the attack.
The bombing targeted a shipment of surface-to-air missiles (SAM) that was headed for Hezbollah in Lebanon, the sources said.
The Associated Press quoted U.S. officials confirming that Israel was behind the attacks, which they said targeted Russian missiles, without giving further details.
And you think Israel is going to give Obama advance notice before attacking Iran's nuclear weapons? Have you gone mad?

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Sunday, July 28, 2013

Reports: Israel attacked another weapons convoy headed for Hezbullah

Reports in Arab media, including in media affiliated with the Syrian rebels, claim that Israel attacked another weapons convoy headed for Hezbullah from Syria on Saturday.
Arab media outlets and websites affiliated with Syrian opposition forces reported on Saturday that Israeli fighter jets seen flying over Quneitra bombed a weapons convoy intended to reach Hezbollah.
It was also reported by Lebanese news outlet El-Nashra that Israeli jets bombed weapons warehouses at Syrian army outposts in the Beqaa Valley in Lebanon.
A Syrian rebel group's Facebook page claimed that the weapons convoy carried warheads for long-range missiles.
Heh. 

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Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Israeli Brigadier General: 'We have technological solutions to Russia's S-300 system'

This ought to keep Iran and Syria - both of whom have or would like to get the Russian S-300 air defense system - up at night. Buried in the middle of an article on Israel's booming arm exports (okay, they also stuck it in a below the mast headline) in the JPost is this assessment of Israel's ability to respond to the S-300.
Brig.-Gen. Eitan Eshel, head of research and development for the Defense Ministry’s Administration for the Development of Weapons and Technological Infrastructure (known as “Mapat“), said the IDF had access to technological solutions – both operational and under development – to the threat posed by the Russian S-300 air defense system. Moscow has vowed to complete the sale of the system to Damascus, which would threaten IAF activities in the region.
Of course, the real danger of Syria getting the S-300 is that they turn it over to Hezbullah - the chances of Syria using it against Israel right now are remote in the short term. But knowing that Israel has a response ought to make everyone think twice. 

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Sunday, November 25, 2012

Israel and US successfully test David's sling (with video)

Israel and the United States have successfully tested David's sling, which is designed to shoot down medium range (70-300 km) missiles - what falls between Iron Dome and the Arrow series.

Let's go to the videotape and then I'll have more after the video:



Here's more about David's sling.
The David’s Sling is a missile defense system currently under development by Rafael in Israel and Raytheon in the US. The system would defend against Iranian missiles such as the M600, the Zelzal, Fajr and Fateh 110 deployed heavily in Hezbollah hands in Lebanon as well as other missiles with a range between 70 and 300 kilometers. It is slated to become operational in 2014.
Defense Minister Ehud Barak congratulated those involved in the test, adding that David's Sling would form a significant layer in Israel's multi-layered missile defense program.
"The major success of Iron Dome batteries in Operation Pillar of Defense clarifies beyond all doubt the huge importance of missile defense programs. The state of Israel is a world leader in this field, thanks to its Israeli defense industries and their people," Barak added.
Just as an aside, I want to remind you all that nearly 30 years ago, when Ronald Reagan proposed the Strategic Defense Initiative (Star Wars), Democrats howled that he was crazy. But I digress....
David’s Sling uses the Stunner interceptor, fitted into a launcher that can hold 16 missiles. It works together with an advanced phased-array radar made by Israel Aerospace Industries. The system can also be formatted to defend Israel's skies against enemy aircraft.
David's Sling will operate within Israel's multi-tiered missile defense system, protecting the country from medium-range threats. The Iron Dome system aims to intercept short-range missiles and rockets, while the country's Arrow and eventually Arrow 3 seek to intercept long-range missiles and ICBMs.
The anti-missile systems are great but for one small weakness: If you have to worry that you will need to use them, you can't really go about life normally in the first place. 

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Tuesday, August 02, 2011

Video: IDF's formerly top-secret Tamuz missile in action

On Monday, the IDF disclosed the existence of a guided missile called the Tamuz.
The missile has a range of 25 km. and can penetrate armored vehicles. It can come with a different anti-personnel warhead. The missile is launched from an armored personnel carrier from two launchers, each of which is capable of carrying three missiles. The APC can carry an additional four missiles inside.

The Tamuz uses an advanced electro-optic camera that transmits the image of its target back to operators inside the APC, who then manually drive it toward the target. Tamuz teams work closely with an artillery unit, which operates Hermes 450 reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicles that provide the intelligence on the targets that are then attacked by the Tamuz missile.

“The missile provides us with the ability to accurately attack targets from a standoff position without needing to physically come into contact with the enemy,” explained Col. Sharon, commander of the Artillery Corps’ David’s Sling Formation.

The Tamuz was used extensively during the Second Lebanon War in 2006 when Meitar fired 600 missiles at Hezbollah targets. Nevertheless, the results were not satisfactory and a new operational doctrine was written for how to operate the missile in an urban terrain and against which targets. The missile was again used against Hamas targets during Operation Cast Lead in the Gaza Strip in January 2009 with greater success.
Until now, the missile was top-secret. Why has it been revealed now?
IDF sources said the decision to unveil the Tamuz came after long deliberations within the defense establishment. One of the reasons the missile was declassified was since the IDF has decided to upgrade Meitar’s capabilities with new weapons systems, and while it will still use the Tamuz, it will not buy more after the current arsenal is exhausted.
Heh.

Well, I did promise you video, didn't I? So let's go to the videotape.



Read the whole thing.

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Sunday, July 17, 2011

Syria provides Hezbullah with SCUD-D missiles

The Times of London (which is hidden behind a paywall) reported on Friday that Syria has supplied Hezbullah with eight SCUD-D missiles. The SCUD-D has a range of 700 kilometers, is accurate to within tens of meters, and puts Israel, Jordan and large parts of Turkey within Hezbullah's range. This is said to be the first time that a terror organization has obtained a weapon that is classified as a strategic weapon. The report cites 'western intelligence officials.'
The Times also quoted an Israeli intelligence official who said Syria "was engaged in a serious arms build-up," adding that the weapons transfers started after the revolution began in Egypt.

The report comes after the French paper Le Figaro reported last month that a stash of Lebanese weapons destined for Hezbollah was hidden and distributed in densely-populated urban areas including the southern Syrian city of Homs and cities just outside Damascus.

In May, Western intelligence agencies expressed concern that Hezbollah might try to transfer the advanced weaponry it reportedly maintains on Syrian soil if it feels that Syrian President Bashar Assad’s reign is on the verge of ending.
I wonder what the next Goldstone Commission is going to have to say about all those weapons hidden among civilian populations. And you still wonder why there are civilian casualties on the other side?

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