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Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Why Israel should retake the Philadelphi Corridor

The Philadelphi Corridor was a regular topic of discussion on this blog in 2006 and 2007, when Israel was still trying to do something about weapons smuggling into Gaza aside from the blockade. Allowing ourselves to be railroaded into giving it up by Condi Clueless, and handing over control to a group of cowardly European 'peacekeepers' known as EUBAM Rafah was a huge mistake from Day One, and was something that was never envisioned even by the most optimistic architects of the Gaza expulsion. Daniel Mandel argues that the time has come to reverse the mistake and to take back the Philadelphi Corridor.
First, there was never a sound reason to leave the corridor. It occurred purely as an unintended byproduct of a flawed Israeli decision to leave Gaza. This unilateral withdrawal was widely criticized by the most senior military and security figures, including the former and then-serving heads of the Shin Bet (Israel Security Service), the former IDF chief of staff, deputy chief of staff and chief of IDF Intelligence, and two former heads of the Mossad.

Even so, leaving Philadelphi was not part of the original plan. That outcome was due to unexpectedly strong pressure from the George W. Bush administration, secretary of state Condoleezza Rice in particular. In short, even those who supported the unilateral withdrawal did not reckon on relinquishing control of the Gaza/Egypt border.

Second, following the withdrawal, the evidence rapidly accumulated that the system of Egyptian troops, Israeli intelligence and international monitors instituted to replace direct Israeli supervision of the border was no substitute. Instead, there was an exponential increase in the quantity of offensive weaponry entering Gaza from Egypt.

Already in 2006, the former OC Southern Command, Maj.-Gen. Doron Almog, said that “there is a need for a permanent IDF presence in the area,” while the late doyen of military analysts, Zeev Schiff, observed that “even though Israel’s security and intelligence services have given the Egyptians a list of the names of those involved in the gun running... in practice nearly nothing is being done to prevent large-scale smuggling through the Philadelphi Route.”

Third, alterations last year to the security annex of the Egyptian/Israeli peace treaty to enable Egypt to deploy a further 2,500 troops in Sinai, in addition to the 700 already on the border, have achieved nothing. The reason is not hard to find and indeed is even more obvious now than when the annex was altered: the Egyptian forces are too much in sympathy with the terrorists and too loath to clash with Hamas to engage in a thorough- going campaign of terrorist suppression.

Egyptian forces will be brutal on terrorists that attack them, but will not interfere with Hamas and other forces bringing weaponry into Gaza.

It is therefore not a matter of troop numbers but of will. Where the efforts to stamp out the traffic in men and arms are tepid, grudging and spasmodic, large battalions will not avail. And nothing – least of all the change of regime in Cairo – suggests that the willpower that was once lacking has been found.

Fourth, the recent murderous attack on Egyptian soldiers underscores all of the foregoing, while providing Israel with an opportune moment to act. The security threats from Gaza to Israel have multiplied. Terrorism emanating from Sinai has also reared its head. Last August, it claimed Israeli lives; this August, Egyptian lives. Border clashes between Israel and Egypt, once a rare occurrence, look like becoming routine. All such incidents carry the risk of putting the nail in the coffin of Egyptian/Israeli peace treaty and even producing a war.
While I definitely believe that we ought to take back Philadelphi, what is the likelihood that the Egyptians will go along? If not, are we willing to take it back by force? Is this really our top priority in light of Hezbullah and Iran in the waiting? Don't get me wrong - I'm all in favor of doing this. But the timing is somewhat of a concern.

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2 Comments:

At 10:32 AM, Blogger NormanF said...

Carl - Israel should retake it, demolish Khan Yunis and force the Arab population northward and annex it to Israel. The Gush Katif revanants can be rebuilt there. It would redress a decision that was disastrous mistake for Israel and cut off the flow of arms to Hamas into Gaza. At some point Israel will do it but that means admitting the Gaza Expulsion did not work and that is very hard for Israel's elites to do as well acknowledge Jewish settlements keep Israel safe. That flies into the face of the conventional wisdom about "Land For Peace." But there is no peace to be had with the Arabs and Israel should be less concerned with world opinion and more concerned with keeping itself safe in a dangerous era.

 
At 11:17 PM, Blogger Empress Trudy said...

The Egyptians are going to re arm the Sinai anyway. Leave the corridor alone and let them slaughter one another over control of the criminal enterprises there. Then slam shut every border crossing in Israel and layout a timeline for the last day the electrical power, and all other goods and services stops flowing to Gaza.

 

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