Will Jewish voters abandon Obama in 2012? Fat chance
If anyone thought that the Jews would abandon Barack Hussein Obama because of how he has treated Israel... it's not going to happen (Hat Tip: Werner S). First, similar concerns voiced by political opponents about Obama’s support for Israel had little impact on Jewish voters in 2008; second, Jewish loyalty to the Democratic Party appears to be based primarily on the liberal views of most Jewish voters on domestic policy issues, especially on social issues; and third, the influence of religious conservatives and Tea Party supporters on the Republican Party remains a major obstacle to the GOP in attracting support from Jewish voters.Read the whole thing.
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What explains the continuing support of Jewish voters for the Democratic Party? After all, Democratic identification has declined fairly dramatically among some other traditionally Democratic groups such as white southerners and Catholics in recent years. The key difference appears to be that Jewish voters, unlike these other traditionally Democratic voting groups, hold solidly liberal views on a wide range of domestic policy issues, and especially on social issues such as abortion that have undermined support for the Democratic Party among some of its traditional supporters.
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The continued liberalism of Jewish voters on domestic policy issues, and especially on social issues such as abortion, remains a major obstacle to Republican inroads. In fact, the rightward drift of the GOP in recent years has probably made any such shift of Jewish voters into the Republican camp even less likely.
From the end of World War II through the 1970s, moderate-to-liberal Republicans like Jacob Javits and Nelson Rockefeller in New York, Charles Mathias in Maryland, and Edward Brooke in Massachusetts regularly won a large share of the Jewish vote. In today’s Republican Party, however, there are almost no liberals or moderates. Even moderate conservatives like Richard Lugar and Olympia Snowe now face the risk of being challenged by conservatives aligned with the Tea Party movement. And few of the likely contenders for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination could be described as moderate, let alone liberal (ex-Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, if he runs, is one possible exception). As a result, there is almost no chance that the ultimate victor in the Republican nomination contest will be able to significantly increase the GOP share of the Jewish vote beyond the relatively small minority of conservative Jews who have been voting for Republican candidates in recent years.
Labels: Barack Hussein Obama, Jewish vote, Republican party
posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 6:53 PM
5 Comments:
America's Jews were deafeningly silent during the Holocaust.
Do you expect anything different now.
Yes 30k largely Ortho students marched yesterday ( I was there), but most Jews care more about abortion, transgendered rights etc.
It's not that the Jews will vote Republican but its the fear that they wont vote, like what happened this last November.The three major electoral states (NY, Fla, Cal)have significant Jewish populations and they made the difference for the democrats in the last election. It was the fact that the elderly Jews in Fla messed up in 2001 that gave Bush the Presidency. This the fear of the dems, not that the republicans will siphon off Jewish votes. Honestly if the dems dont' get at least 50%-60% of the Jewish vote, which they may not, the dems can kiss the presidency goodbye.
Wow...really?? So, even after Bibi Netanyahoo's speech before our congress, thumbing his nose at Obama, our Jewish community would still vote Obama???
"Jewish" seems to have been co-opted by Israel to mean "Israeli"? So, pardon my surprise to hear that many in the Jewish community would still support Obama/Dems given recent rifts between Obama and Bibi.
I am a Jew and care about social responsibilities. I am a USAF and USA veteran, as well as a retired police officer. I am also pro-choice; I could care less if a person is gay or straight, as long as they are happy. But I am a Republican and I am a proud Zionist! I am a realist, a word infrequently used within the Jewish populace. I grew up in a city housing project the son of a welfare family. But we were responsible enough to comprehend that was assistance, not a way of life. Having seen way too many families who just use the system as a way of life was a commonality. Jews who vote for Democrats deserve everything they could ever imagine in a nightmare - me? I am a nightmare for those on the left; I am a Jew with a gun, and a functioning brain!
I am a Jew and care about social responsibilities. I am a USAF and USA veteran, as well as a retired police officer. I am also pro-choice; I could care less if a person is gay or straight, as long as they are happy. But I am a Republican and I am a proud Zionist! I am a realist, a word infrequently used within the Jewish populace. I grew up in a city housing project the son of a welfare family. But we were responsible enough to comprehend that was assistance, not a way of life. Having seen way too many families who just use the system as a way of life was a commonality. Jews who vote for Democrats deserve everything they could ever imagine in a nightmare - me? I am a nightmare for those on the left; I am a Jew with a gun, and a functioning brain!
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