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Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Report: Israel helped Obama avoid action in Syria

Stories from Michael Oren's new book continue to leak to the media. In yet another report based on the book, Eli Lake reports that Israel helped President Hussein Obama avoid action on his 'red line' on Syrian use of chemical weapons.
Oren's book, "Ally," discloses for the first time that in late August and early September 2013, Israel's then-intelligence minister, Yuval Steinitz, floated a plan for Syria to relinquish its chemical weapons to the Russian government and that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu received Obama's blessing to move forward with the proposal.  
To be sure, Oren also writes in his memoir that Israel did not oppose U.S. airstrikes in late August 2013, saying the Jewish state saw no downside with Obama enforcing his red line and hopefully deterring Syria's ally, Iran. But at the same time, he credits Steinitz and Netanyahu with helping prepare the diplomacy that allowed Obama to climb down from the air strikes that Oren himself believed at the time were all but a certainty.
It was in this period that America came closest to directly entering the Syrian civil war. In August 2013, U.N. inspectors confirmed that Bashar al-Assad's regime attacked a rebel position in Ghouta outside of Damascus. Obama reluctantly acknowledged that the Syrian dictator had crossed the administration's red line and used chemical weapons. But after Syria and Russia agreed to a plan in which Assad would acknowledge and dispose of his chemical weapons, the threat of American airstrikes as punishment for the attack in Ghouta subsided.
At the time, the disarmament plan appeared to come about by accident. On Sept. 9 that year, Secretary of State John Kerry floated the idea that Assad could avert a U.S. attack on his territory if he gave up his chemical weapons. State Department officials soon after said the remarks were more a rhetorical flourish than a sincere proposal. But Kerry's Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, quickly seized on the remarks and presented a proposal to Syria's foreign ministry. Within the space of a news cycle, a U.N. plan was being negotiated and America was backing away from airstrikes.
It turns out that Netanyahu was helping to bring about the deal behind the scenes, according to Oren. "In the course of this frenzy, though, I heard of a proposal to peacefully remove Syria’s chemical arsenal," Oren writes. "The idea originated with an Israeli minister, Yuval Steinitz, who first pitched it to the Russians, who were eager to avoid an American intercession that they could not stop. Netanyahu next brought it to Obama and received a green light."
And it goes without saying that Arrogant Obama showed no appreciation for Israel's role in saving him from his red line.
Oren also notes that Obama never publicly credited Israel with help on the plan. "In subsequent interviews, Obama rarely missed the chance to cite the neutralization of Syria’s chemical capabilities as an historic diplomatic achievement. Russian president Vladimir Putin also took credit for the initiative and praised this 'vivid example of how the international community can solve the most complex disarmament and non- proliferation task.' Israel’s role remained unmentioned, but its citizens were relieved not to have to sign up for more gas masks," he writes.  
Given what's happened in Syria since 2013, perhaps we're better off with Obama's lack of gratitude. Read the whole thing. 

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Thursday, September 11, 2014

The Syrian chemical weapons hoax

US Ambassador to the United Nations Samantha Power has all but admitted that the Obama administration's claims to have destroyed '96% of Syria's chemical weapons' are false.
Samantha Power spoke to reporters after the Security Council received a briefing from Sigrid Kaag, who heads the international effort to rid Syria of its chemical weapons.
The joint mission of the United Nations and the Organization for the prohibition of Chemical Weapons will end at the end of the month after destroying nearly all of Syria’s declared stockpile. But Kaag said the OPCW is still working with Syria to resolve discrepancies in its declaration, which she said range from outdated records to discrepancies on the volume of materials.
Power said the U.S. is concerned not only that President Bashar Assad’s regime still has chemical weapons but that any stockpiles left behind could end up in the hands of the Islamic State group, which has seized large swaths of Syria and Iraq.
Gee, ya think? Well, yeah....
[D]oubts shadow the Assad regimes statements. The main one is whether Assad is hiding undeclared poison gases and there is an investigation into reports of alleged chlorine gas use in some Syrian towns. Chorine is not specifically classified as a chemical weapon.
So here are the solid facts – Syria has not give up even a small portion of its chemical weapons. Assad is a master of deception and he found himself in front of a naive west that believed him.
Syria has one of the most advanced chemical warfare (CW) capabilities in the Middle East. The country’s initial CW capability was provided by Egypt prior to the October 1973 war against Israel. Since then, Syria appears to have acquired an indigenous capability to develop and produce chemical weapons agents, including mustard gas and Sarin, and possibly also VX nerve agent. Chemical weapons agents have allegedly been produced since the 1980s at facilities located near the Hama, Homs, and Al-Safira villages in the Aleppo region. However, Syria remains dependent on foreign sources for some dual-use equipment, and for the precursor chemicals critical to CW agent production. In recent years, Iran has been identified as a supplier of technical assistance and facilities for developing and producing CW-related precursors. Syria possesses Scud-B and Scud-C ballistic missiles, artillery shells, and rockets that are believed to be capable of delivering chemical warheads. Until recently, Syria had refused to become a member of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC)
The problem isn't that the West is naive. The problem is that Obama never wanted to deal with Assad's chemical weapons capacity in the first place (particularly because it might have verified claims by the hated George W. Bush administration that Saddam Hussein transferred chemical weapons to Syria for safekeeping before the Second Gulf War).

What could go wrong?

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Wednesday, June 18, 2014

Obama: World would have been a better place had Bush NOT toppled Saddam Hussein

Okay, so that cartoon came from the People's Cube, which is a satire site (Hat Tip: Jack W). But is it that far from reality?

The Wall Street Journal's Bret Stephens says that the pace of Obama's disasters is gaining speed.
Was it only 10 months ago that President Obama capitulated on Syria? And eight months ago that we learned he had no idea the U.S. eavesdropped on Angela Merkel ? And seven months ago that his administration struck its disastrous interim nuclear deal with Tehran? And four months ago that Chuck Hagel announced that the United States Army would be cut to numbers not seen since the 1930s? And three months ago that Russia seized Crimea? And two months ago that John Kerry's Israeli-Palestinian peace effort sputtered into the void? And last month that Mr. Obama announced a timetable for total withdrawal from Afghanistan—a strategy whose predictable effects can now be seen in Iraq?

Even the Bergdahl deal of yesterweek is starting to feel like ancient history. Like geese, Americans are being forced to swallow foreign-policy fiascoes at a rate faster than we can possibly chew, much less digest.

Consider the liver.

On Thursday, Russian tanks rolled across the border into eastern Ukraine. On Saturday, Russian separatists downed a Ukrainian transport jet, murdering 49 people. On Monday, Moscow stopped delivering gas to Kiev. All this is part of the Kremlin's ongoing stealth invasion and subjugation of its neighbor. And all of this barely made the news. John Kerry phoned Moscow to express his "strong concern." Concern, mind you, not condemnation.

If the president of the United States had any thoughts on the subject, he kept them to himself. His weekly radio address was devoted to wishing America's dads a happy Father's Day.

Also last week, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria seized Mosul. Then ISIS took Tikrit. Then it was Tal Afar. Mass executions of Shiites in each place. The administration is taking its time deciding what, if any, aid it will provide the government in Baghdad. But it is exploring the possibility of using Iraq's distress as an opportunity to open avenues of cooperation with Tehran.

So because the administration has a theological objection to using military force in Iraq to prevent it from being overrun by al Qaeda or dissolving into potentially genocidal civil war, it will now work with Tehran, a designated state sponsor of terrorism for 30 years and a regime that continues to arm Hezbollah in Lebanon, Islamic Jihad in Gaza and Bashar Assad in Syria, to help "stabilize" Iraq. At least the White House has ruled out military cooperation with Iran. But give it time.

Read the whole thing. 

Anyone want to predict the next disaster? Here's a hint: Last night, the White House announced that Obama has ruled out airstrikes in Iraq - at least for now.

FORE!

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Friday, November 15, 2013

Powerful new ad: Obama's march to war

As the Obama administration continues its push for a deal with Iran, today the Emergency Committee for Israel released a one-minute TV ad titled "Obama's March to War."

Airing multiple times this week and next on CNN, MSNBC, and FoxNews, the spot shows why Americans and our allies have reason to doubt President Obama's promises on Iran.

In my humble opinion, this ad is devastating. 

Let's go to the videotape.



Kind of reminds me of the daisy ad:
A 1964 Democratic campaign advertisement known as Daisy showed a young girl counting daisy petals, from one to ten. Immediately following this scene, a voiceover counted down from ten to one. The child's face was shown as a still photograph followed by images of nuclear explosions and mushroom clouds. The campaign advertisement ended with a plea to vote for Johnson, implying that Goldwater (who was not mentioned by name) would provoke a nuclear war if elected. The advertisement, which featured only a few spoken words of narrative and relied on imagery for its emotional impact, was one of the most provocative in American political campaign history, and many analysts credit it as being the birth of the modern style of "negative political ads" on television. The ad only aired once, and was immediately pulled, but then was shown numerous times by television stations.
Let's go to the videotape.

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Sunday, October 06, 2013

Germany supplied Syria with sarin gas components as recently as 2011

Germany supplied Syria with the components for sarin gas as recently as 2011.
German companies supplied Syria’s regime with dual-usage chemicals, which can be applied for military and civilian use, as late as 2011.

The chemicals involved – sodium fluoride, hydrofluoric acid and ammonium hydrogen fluoride – can be used to manufacture sarin, the deadly nerve gas used during the August 21 attack on the edge of Damascus, which killed more than 1,400 people, according to the US government.

The firms delivered larger volumes of these chemicals than previously disclosed in September, German broadcaster ARD reported last week.

A week before Chancellor Angela Merkel’s September 22 election victory, a Left Party deputy revealed that German companies, under successive coalition governments between 1998 and 2006, supplied Syria with chemicals.

Merkel told ARD television before her election victory, “We are of course looking into all allegations on this, but from what we can see so far the export license was for civil use.”

According to the new ARD report, German companies delivered roughly 350 tons of dual-use chemicals to Syrian President Bashar Assad’s regime between 1998 and 2011. The previous known total of German-sold chemicals to Syria was 135 tons between 2002 and 2006.

The exports included 270 tons of fluoride, which is key in the manufacture of sarin.
Given Germany's booming trade with Iran, is anyone really surprised?

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Wednesday, October 02, 2013

'Assad will never give up his chemical weapons'

A defected Syrian general has told CNN's Christiane Amanpour that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad will never give up his chemical weapons despite his agreement to do so. The general, Zaher al-Sakat, also confirms that Syria is hiding chemical weapons in Iraq and Lebanon.

Let's go to the videotape.



More here.

Could it be that Assad agreed to give up his chemical weapons because he has already hidden most of them?

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Monday, September 30, 2013

France was ready to strike Syria, Obama decided to go to Congress instead

France was all ready to strike Syria. The strike had even been scheduled for August 31. But then, President Hussein Obama decided to go to Congress instead.
France was ready for a strike on chemical weapons facilities in Syria on the day US President Barack Obama decided to seek approval from Congress for the strike, French weekly Le Nouvel Observateur reported on Sunday.
...
Rafale fighter jets, armed with Scalp cruise missiles with a range of 250 km, were ready to fire at targets in western Syria, including Damascus, the paper reported. The jets were to attack while flying over international waters in the Mediterranean, avoiding Turkish airspace to prevent Syrian retaliation against its neighbor.
...
The strike was due to start at 3 a.m. on September 1, while everyone are asleep, to minimize civilian casualties, a government official told the paper.
After receiving indications from the Americans that the strike was imminent in the days leading up to the US president's announcement, Obama called Hollande on Saturday August 31 at 6:15 p.m., telling him he had decided to ask for Congress's approval before going ahead with the strike.
Hollande was stunned, the paper reported, and tried to convince Obama to reconsider, but was unsuccessful.
And you can bet that the next time that the US wants to enlist France in military action, the French will just be rarin' to go....

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Saturday, September 21, 2013

Obama uses the North Korea model to handle Iran and Syria

Caroline Glick writes that President Obama is using the North Korean model to handle Iran's and Syria's pursuit of weapons of mass destruction.
With the US's experience with North Korea clearly in mind, it is possible to assess US actions with regards to Syria and Iran. The first thing that becomes clear is that the Obama administration is implementing the North Korean model in its dealings with Syria and Iran.

With regards to Syria, there is no conceivable way to peacefully enforce the US Russian agreement on the ground. Technically it is almost impossible to safely dispose of chemical weapons under the best of circumstances.

Given that Syria is in the midst of a brutal civil war, the notion that it is possible for UN inspectors to remove or destroy the regime's chemical weapons is patently absurd.

Moreover, since the agreement itself requires non-compliance complaints to be discussed first at the UN Security Council, and it is clear that Russia is willing to do anything to protect the Syrian regime, no action will be taken to punish non-compliance.

Finally, like his predecessors with regard to Pyongyang, Obama has effectively accepted the continued legitimacy of the regime of Bashar Assad, despite the fact that he is an acknowledged war criminal.

As was the case with Pyongyang and its nuclear brinkmanship and weapons tests, Assad won his legitimacy and removed the US threat to remove him from power by using weapons of mass destruction.

As for Iran, Rouhani's talk of closing Fordo needs to be viewed against the precedents set at Yongbyon by the North Koreans. In other words, even if the installation is shuttered, there is every reason to believe that the shutdown will be temporary. On the other hand, just as North Korea remains off the State Department's list of state sponsors of terrorism despite the fact that since its removal it carried out two more nuclear tests, it is hard to imagine that sanctions on Iran's oil exports and central bank removed in exchange for an Iranian pledge to close Fordo, would be restored after Fordo is reopened.

Like North Korea, Iran will negotiate until it is ready to vacate its signature on the NPT and test its first nuclear weapon.
Read the whole thing. What could go wrong?

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Thursday, September 19, 2013

Putin blames Israel for Syrian WMD's

Moadim l'Simcha - a happy holiday to all of you. (The proper answer to that greeting is 'Chagim u'Zmanim l'Sasson' - which means holidays and times for joy).

Russian President Vladimir Putin is blaming Israel for Syria's possession of weapons of mass destruction.
According to AFP, Putin said that Syria had developed chemical weapons "as an alternative to the nuclear weapons of Israel."
The Russian president claimed that the "the technical advantage of Israel -- we need to say this directly -- is such that it doesn't need nuclear weapons. Israel is already in a technical military sense several heads above the countries in the region."
Putin added that "nuclear weapons just make it a target. They just create foreign policy problems."
What a load of you-know-what. Is it Israel's fault that Bashar al-Assad has followed in his father's footsteps and used chemical weapons on his own people? If they were developed as an 'alternative to the nuclear weapons of Israel,' why is Assad using them to attack his own people?

Moreover, did it ever occur to Putin that maybe the only reason that the Assad's never used their chemical weapons against Israel is because they knew that if they did, they would find themselves back in the 8th century?

Does Putin believe that Russia's nuclear weapons make him a target?

Aren't you Americans glad that Putz Obama let this guy live another day?

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Monday, September 16, 2013

Obama's biggest success

Melanie Phillips reports that President Obama enjoyed his biggest success yet last week, as it became obvious to everyone that the fate of the western world is now in the hands of Vladimir Putin (Hat Tip: Dan F).
With the Syria deal, Obama has enabled Putin to sweep away US influence over the Middle East and make Putin himself the broker over Iran. ‘Credible US threat of force?’ Iran now has credible evidence – if any more were needed – that any such threats Obama may ever make towards it will be no more than the rustle of a paper tiger. The fate of the free world no longer rests with the US. It now rests with Putin. He and the mullahs in Iran, presented with the spectacle of the preening narcissist in the White House gazing in rapt adoration at his own reflection, are surely laughing fit to bust.
And why shouldn’t the First Narcissist preen? For he has achieved precisely what he wanted, his true goal that I described in this blog when Obama first ran for President: to extend the reach of the state over peoples’ lives at home, to emasculate the power of America abroad, and to make the free white world the slave of those he falsely characterised as the victims of that white world’s oppression.
He has achieved it, to the letter. Iran’s putative victims of its imminent nuclear arsenal of holy war against the non-Islamic world are now, terrifyingly, on their own.
Indeed he has. We have to do a lot of praying over the next 40 months that a new and markedly different leader is chosen for the United States. That's not a simple proposition. If Obama gets his way and legalizes hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants to the United States, the chances of any Republican defeating Hillary Clinton or whoever else might be the Democratic nominee will markedly diminish.

And even if a Republican is elected President, will there be anything left to save?

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The United States took 18 years to destroy its chemical weapons - how long will Syria take?

In 1993, the United States agreed to destroy its stock of chemical weapons. In 2004, it actually started the process of destroying them, a process that was not completed until 2011. Is it realistic to expect Syria to destroy its stock anytime in the near future?

Michael Totten explains why it took the US so long, and why it's not realistic to expect Syria's chemical weapons stock to be destroyed any time in the near future.
From 1962 to 2011, the US Army stored nearly four thousand tons of VX, Sarin, and HD blister agent (commonly known as mustard gas) at the Umatilla Chemical Depot along the Columbia River two and a half hours east of Portland, Oregon.
In 1993 the US signed a treaty forbidding the production, stockpiling, and use of chemical weapons, and eleven years later, in 2004, the Army was finally ready to begin destroying Oregon’s stockpile.
They did it by incinerating the chemical agents in a 2,700 degree furnace. And they did it in a thinly populated part of the peaceful Pacific Northwest under the complete control of the United States Army.
It still took them eight years. Toxic munitions must be destroyed very slowly and very carefully.
A single drop of this stuff will kill you, and the facility is located right on the Columbia River which runs through Portland, Oregon and Vancouver, Washington. And though Umatilla County is fairly remote, the Los Angeles Times reported that “disaster scenarios suggested that a major earthquake at the facility, followed by fire, could send a plume of poisonous residue as far as Portland, Seattle or Spokane.”
...
So people who live in that area felt a sense of relief when the Army finally finished destroying the stockpiles on October 25, 2011.
The Chemical Weapons Convention was drafted in New York and Paris. The United States signed it in 1993.
Syria agreed to sign it three days ago. A plan is now being put together to rid Syria of its chemical weapons.
Considering all of the above, which I’ve been all too familiar with for many years now, you can color me more than a little bit skeptical.
Read the whole thing. Hope the wind is blowing toward the east when and if we have to bomb their facilities. Due east.

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Priorities: Syria is burning, but John Kerry still has his eye on... the 'peace process'

As Syria burns, US Secretary of State John Kerry keeps his eye on the only thing in the Middle East that matters to President Obama: The 'Palestinians.'
US Secretary of State John Kerry paid a lightning visit to Jerusalem Sunday and, in addition to briefing Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu on the Syrian situation, made clear he was not losing sight of the Israeli- Palestinian talks.
“The road ahead is not easy,” Kerry said at the outset of a 10-minute statement he delivered after holding a more than three-hour meeting with Netanyahu. “If it was easy, peace would have been achieved a long time ago. What is clearer than ever is that this is a road worth traveling.”
Kerry said his discussions with Netanyahu were a follow- up to a “very productive meeting” he had last week in London with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas.
Since that meeting, there has been a significant drop in leaks about the talks appearing in the Arabic press. Israel protested those leaks to US special envoy Martin Indyk, arguing that they went against understandings by the sides before the talks began and were making the talks more difficult.
...
Netanyahu, relating to the talks and referring to Kerry as “John” – who in turn called him “my friend Bibi” – said, “We both know that this road is not an easy one, but we have embarked on this effort with you in order to succeed, to bring about a historic reconciliation between Israelis and Palestinians that ends the conflict once and for all.”
Following Kerry’s statement, and in an apparent sign of the easy rapport between them, Netanyahu shook Kerry’s hand and said, “One hell of a sound bite.”
Kerry laughed.
While Netanyahu and Kerry were meeting privately, their top advisers were holding talks in a nearby room.
And for those who have forgotten why the 'Palestinians' are so important (how could you?), please recall this.
The real explanation begins with President Obama's long-standing friendship with Rashid Khalidi, now a professor at Bir Zeit on the Hudson and a former spokesman for the PLO. It continues with 20 years of listening to Jeremiah Wright's anti-Semitic diatribes week in and week out. And both of those things sit on the bases of Obama's bitter, anti-colonialist father and his Muslim upbringing. Victor Davis Hanson probably came as close as anyone to getting it right when he wrote:
Does Team Obama really believe that a murderous autocratic cabal like Hamas is merely different from a democratic constitutional republic like Israel? At best we have naiveté at the helm (Obama thinks he can mesmerize misunderstood killers), at worst, a genuine feeling that Israel is an aggressive, Western imperialist power exploiting indigenous people of color who simply wish to be free--in other words, the Rev. Wright-Bill Ayers-Rashid Khalidi view of the Middle East.
That 'at worst' view is what makes Obama believe that there's a 'fierce moral urgency' to make a 'Palestinian state' and thus undo the 'injustice' that's been done to this imaginary 'people.' That's the truth - and not what Ethan Bronner writes in the New York Times.
 What could go wrong?

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Netanyahu tells Obama what he wants to hear

In a lengthy recounting of how the Obama administration reversed itself on Syria's chemical weapons, the Wall Street Journal comes up with this (Hat Tip: Barak Ravid).
On Sept. 11, Mr. Kerry spoke to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who said he believed Russia wasn't bluffing and that a deal was possible, according to American and Middle Eastern officials briefed on the exchange. Israel shared U.S. concerns that strikes could strengthen rebels linked with al Qaeda and allow them to seize Mr. Assad's weapons.
The good news is that this argues against the claim that Israel was pushing for a US attack on Syria (and against the claim that the government of Israel controls AIPAC, which has been a huge proponent of an attack on Syria.

The bad news is that it's probably the wrong move, although my guess is that by September 11 the dhecision had already been made, there was no point in trying to oppose it, so Netanyahu sought brownie points by telling Obama what he wanted to hear.

What could go wrong?

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Report: Syria smuggling chem weapons to Hezbullah and to Russian ships off Syrian coast

On Sunday, S.E. Cupp said on CNN that Syria was transferring chemical weapons to Hezbullah, and that Hezbullah already has such weapons in hand. She gave no source for the information. Also on Sunday, Lebanon's al-Mustaqbul reported that Syria was stashing chemical weapons in Iraq, a report which the Iraqi government has denied.

A report in the Saudi daily al-Watan, based on Syrian opposition sources, is now making the same accusation that Cupp made. For good measure they are adding that chemicals are also being transferred to Russian ships off the Syrian coast.
Syrian President Bashar Assad's forces are smuggling chemical weapons to Hezbollah hidden in trucks carrying vegetables in order to escape international chemical inspection, Syrian opposition member Dr. Kamal Labwani told Saudi newspaper Al Watan on Monday.
The chemical arms are set to be stored in Hezbollah-controlled mountain areas of Lebanon, where it will be difficult to find and monitor them.
Syria has also been able to smuggle the bulk of its chemical arsenal to Russian battleships stationed off the coast of Syria, Labwani said.
You don't think this has something to do with why Syria has supposedly agreed to this deal, do you?

What could go wrong?

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Kemp: Agreement on Syrian chem weapons 'not realistic'

I am sure that many of you remember Richard Kemp, the former commander of British forces in Afghanistan, whose testimony before the United Nations 'human rights council' (after the Goldstone commission refused to hear him) was the beginning of the end for the credibility of the Goldstone Report in the international arena.

Kemp has told the Jerusalem Post that the US-Russia plan to force Syria to turn over its chemical weapons is 'not realistic.' Here's hoping Matt Lee asks the State Department about that assessment at Monday's briefing.
The agreement reached between the US and Russia for the destruction of chemical weapons in the possession of the Assad regime is fraught with difficulty and danger and, in the best case scenario, would likely end up with a token show of disarmament, Col. Richard Kemp, former commander of British forces in Afghanistan, told The Jerusalem Post on Sunday.
Speaking to the Post by phone, Kemp, who also served in the UK’s Joint Intelligence Committee and Cabinet Office Briefing Room, said: “I think it’s extremely difficult to do something like this during an active conflict, during a war. I think it’ll take a very large amount of time, with a significant amount of military protection, so that the inspectors can be as safe as they can be. That aspect will present huge challenges. Which country, first of all, will provide the scientists who will take these risks and the military forces to back them up? It’s a very dangerous situation.”
...
“Secondly, to get verification in this kind of situation, I would say, is impossible,” he stated. “It would be very easy for President Assad to hide or remove out of the country significant quantities of chemical weapons.
As I reported on Sunday, Assad has already started to do just that.

Kemp continues.
What we might end up seeing is a token show of disarmament. I don’t think it is realistically feasible.”
In turn, it would end up harming regional – and global – security, the former military commander warned.
Assad’s position would be strengthened by a more positive international stance towards him, “combined with very active Russian support and American collusion with that support,” Kemp said. Iran’s position, too, would be strengthened significantly, he continued, as the value of American deterrence “appears to be degraded as a result of this, and Iran’s own position is obviously strengthened by what will be its closer relations with Russia.”
This spells bad news from Israel’s perspective, Kemp said, adding nonetheless that “Israel appears to be the only reliable power in the region. America’s power and American deterrence is reduced. Israel remains the one reliable power that the world can count on to intervene if the situation gets too dangerous.”
Well, at least Syria isn't a nuclear power.... 

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Sunday, September 15, 2013

State Department: There's no agreement with the Russians

At a lengthy State Department briefing in Geneva on Saturday, it became clear that there is no agreement yet between the US and the Russians on what to do about Syria's chemical weapons stock, and no one has even asked Syria yet.

Meanwhile France is still making noises about taking military action.
But privately there is disquiet in Paris about an accord that some fear could bestow renewed legitimacy on Assad, consolidate his grip on power and stall moves to bolster the opposition coalition that France has championed.

Diplomats say that was reflected in the double-edged statement issued by Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius in response to the Geneva deal.

While praising it as a "significant step forward", Fabius also emphasized that the next steps should be shaped by the contents of a report, due to be published Monday, by UN inspectors probing the Aug. 21 chemical weapons attack outside Damascus.

France's Socialist government unequivocally backed punitive military action in response to what they regard as a watershed moment in Syria's civil war, and Fabius has indicated that he expects the UN report to point a finger of blame in the direction of the regime.

"What we are saying is that the Geneva accord does not settle all accounts," said a well-placed French official. "It is not a stamp of approval for Assad, whom we simply do not trust. There is a lot more involved."
Hmmm.

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Hezbullah has chemical weapons?

On State of the Union Sunday morning, a panel battled over the significance of the recently-brokered deal with Russia and Syria to capture and destroy Syria's chemical weapons, with CNN contributor S. E. Cupp alleging that Hezbollah might have chemical weapons, drawing a chorus of rebukes from the panel. "In the end the president's actually getting what he wants," Cornell Belcher started. "Like he said, 'I didn't run for office to get us more involved in wars, I ran to get us out of wars.' In the end, we're not going to be dropping bombs over there."

Let's go to the videotape.



I agree with her on everything else, but I'd love to hear her evidence on Hezbullah. As far as I know, the IDF stopped every effort to transfer chemical weapons to Hezbullah. 

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American troops to enter Syria through the back door?

After saying over and over again that he does not want to put troops on the ground in Syria, President Obama may have to put troops on the ground in Syria to secure its chemical weapons stocks (Hat Tip: Memeorandum).
Pentagon Press Secretary George Little gave a vague answer when asked if U.S. troops were prepared to assist should an international agreement allow Russia to take control of the tons of chemical weapons believed to be in the stockpiles of President Bashar al-Assad.
"I'm not going to speculate on who may or may not be participating in a process that may or may not take place," Little said. "We've got to see where the process goes" before the U.S. military considers involvement, he said.
For all of you who applauded the agreement with Russia over Syria's chemical arms, would the need for US troops on the ground make you reconsider?

What could go wrong?

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Obama confirms he has a new penpal

In an interview with ABC's This Week, President Obama has confirmed that he has a new penpal: Iranian President Hassan Rohani.
Obama confirmed publicly for the first time on “This Week” that he has exchanged letters with new Iranian president Hassan Rouhani, who has vowed to act forcefully to prevent any Western military intervention in Syria, using “all efforts to prevent it.”
Obama said he believes his threat to use U.S. military force in Syria, and subsequent pause to pursue diplomacy, sends a signal to the Iranian regime in the ongoing dispute over its contested nuclear program.
“What they should draw from this lesson is that there is the potential of resolving these issues diplomatically,” Obama said.
“I think this new president is not going to suddenly make it easy,” he added. “But you know, my view is that if you have both a credible threat of force, combined with a rigorous diplomatic effort, that, in fact … you can strike a deal.”
After watching what happened in Syria, does anyone really believe that Obama has a credible threat of force? Obama is nothing but the good old 96-pound weakling.


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Iraq returns the favor? Lebanese paper reports Syria hiding chem weapons in Iraq

You will recall that I have presented proof in the past that the late Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein transferred chemical weapons to Syria in the lead-up to Operation Iraqi Freedom. According to the Lebanese daily al-Mustaqbal, Syria is now returning the favor.
Syria has moved 20 trucks worth of equipment and material used for the manufacturing of chemical weapons into neighboring Iraq, the Lebanese daily Al-Mustaqbal reported on Sunday.
The government in Baghdad has denied allegations that it is helping the Syrian government conceal chemical stockpiles.
...
The newspaper reported that the trucks crossed the boundary separating Syria with Iraq over the course of Thursday and Friday. Border guards did not inspect the contents of the trucks, which raises suspicions that they contained illicit cargo, according to Al-Mustaqbal.
...
Last week, the head of the Free Syrian Army told CNN that opposition intelligence indicated Assad was moving chemical arms out of the country.
"Today, we have information that the regime began to move chemical materials and chemical weapons to Lebanon and to Iraq," General Salim Idriss told CNN.
"We have told our friends that the regime has begun moving a part of its chemical weapons arsenal to Lebanon and Iraq. We told them do not be fooled," Idris told reporters in Istanbul.
Hmmm....

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