Iran's ability to retaliate for Israeli strike limited
Iran's ability to retaliate for an Israeli strike on its nuclear program has been greatly limited
by the problems of the Assad regime in Syria.
According to a report in Israeli daily Maariv, Israeli diplomats
meeting in Jerusalem were told by Defense Ministry intelligence
officials that the weakening of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has
taken its toll on Iran militarily.
The officials said that neither Syria nor Hezbollah have the
capability to start a war with Israel and would be largely unable to
respond on behalf of Iran in the event of an Israeli strike on Iran’s
Hezbollah would need direct aid from Iran to be capable of fighting
Israel as it did in 2006, the officials said, but Iran was likely not
to do so, because such a move would likely bring the U.S. and Europe
directly into the conflict. Hezbollah recognizes its weakened position,
the officials said, and was unlikely to provoke Israel into a massive
invasion of Lebanon.
Addressing relations with Egypt, the officials believe that Cairo
would reign-in Hamas because the country is broke and can’t alienate the
West, which it is relying on for financial aid.
Labels: Hezbullah, Iranian nuclear threat, Syrian uprising