Ensuring the two-reichlet solution?
Back in 2007 and 2008, I wrote a series of posts in which I argued that the Hamas takeover in Gaza and the lack of an Israeli response to it had ensured that Israel would eventually be 'negotiating' with two separate 'Palestinian' entities - Hamas-led Gaza and the Fatah-led 'West Bank' - barring a Hamas takeover of the 'West Bank.'In a brief response to Marc Lynch (whose post I discussed here), Martin Kramer argues that the true significance of the lifting of the Gaza 'blockade' is the entrenchment of the two-reichlet solution.
Marc Lynch misses it. A Kadima government imposed the Gaza sanctions on the long shot of putting together the Palestinian Humpty-Dumpty, to salvage the big-bang, final-status "peace process." Easing the blockade finalizes the Gaza-West Bank split. Now there will be two US-mediated local "peace processes," one for the West Bank, one for Gaza. They'll never converge. The future is here: Israel and two statelets.Will Israel sit at a table with Hamas without Hamas recognizing its right to exist and without Hamas eschewing terrorism? I hope that the answer is not, but the Israeli government had better be prepared for the question.
posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 4:59 PM
1 Comments:
I don't believe a Palestinian state or two - will ever happen. Not without a change in outlook from Hamas. And neither Fatah or Hamas want a shotgun marriage in our lifetime.
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