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Sunday, June 14, 2015

Strategic Affairs expert: 'Optimistic, guilt-driven worldview driving US policy on Iran'

Brig. Gen. (Res.) Yossi Kuperwasser, former chief of the research division in IDF Military Intelligence, and until recently, director general of the Ministry of Strategic Affairs, has blasted the Obama administration's approach to Iran in a paper published by the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, calling it 'optimistic' and 'guilt-driven.' Kuperwasser says that Israel must monitor Iran more closely in the event that an agreement is reached over its nuclear capabilities.
"The main reason for the reluctance of the administration to consider the strategy proposed by Israel, and by like-minded Arab states and members of Congress, is its optimistic and guilt-driven worldview. As long as the negotiations continue, Israel should keep doing everything it can to prevent a bad deal with Iran," Kuperwasser said.

"But if in spite of its efforts a bad deal is signed," Israel should boost intelligence gathering, accelerate efforts to develop the military capability to defend itself if necessary, and build a regional alliance determined to block Iranian attempts to translate its achievements in the nuclear realm into greater regional influence, even without developing a weapon.

"Put succinctly," Kuperwasser said, "Washington seeks to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, while Jerusalem seeks to prevent it from having the capability to produce nuclear weapons," he wrote, as the June 30 deadline for a final deal approaches.

Israel continues to believe that with enough pressure, Iran can be convinced that it has no chance of becoming a nuclear weapon state, he argued.

"On the other hand, Israel believes that the deal proposed now will justifiably be presented by Iran as a victory of the Islamic Republic, one that can be translated into further achievements in Iran’s quest for regional hegemony," Kuperwasser stated.

From an Israeli point of view, he continued, the US administration "seems to have convinced itself that the deal it is trying to reach is the best possible deal and is a reasonable one, while it remains blind to the deal’s many shortcomings, and indulges in wishful thinking and distortion of facts in order to justify it."

Elsewhere in his paper, Kuperwasser wrote, "To be specific about the perceived threat, Israel’s view is that Iran under the current regime seeks, through a variety of ways, to bring about the destruction of the national state of the Jewish people. This is a central component of Iran’s broader efforts to form a new Middle East, controlled by extremist forces aligned with it and under its influence, from which basis it can advance toward changing the entire world order."
What could go wrong?

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