Only Europe stands between Obama and a nuclear Iran
On YNet, Alex Fishman argues that Prime Minister Netanyahu would be better off making his case to Europe than to the US Congress. After all, the United States has already conceded a nuclear threshold, and only Europe stands between Obama and a deal
But Netanyahu is right
about one thing: The American president, who has his own political
reasons, is making a huge effort to convince the Iranians to sign –
sending them messages, letters and messengers and getting into an
argument with the Congress. But Barack Obama is actually causing his own
failure. He wants the goods so much that he has already put all the
cards on the table, while the Iranians are still holding the cards close
to their chest.
Even today – two months before the scheduled date
for signing an agreement – the Iranians have hardly budged while the
Americans have reached the limit of concessions. Rouhani left the
following instruction to his negotiations team: Iran will not give up
any ability it has already acquired. It will not dismantle any
So the Iranians are saying to the Americans: You have already
crossed the Rubicon, agreed to leave us most of the centrifuges, a
certain enrichment ability, and let us continue to engage in research
and development – in other words, to continue developing advanced
centrifuges. So take just one more tiny step towards us and let us
increase the number of advanced centrifuges over time.
And the Iranians have another condition: The moment the
agreement is signed, an immediate removal of all the sanctions and a
full return to the family of nations.
The Americans have agreed that Iran will continue to hold onto
the major part of the centrifuges, but are demanding that the West will
control the uranium enrichment products: The quantity, the enrichment
rate and the transfer of surpluses to Russia.
That's ridiculous. It means that the Obama administration has
basically agreed that Iran will become a nuclear threshold state, only
the supervision will be tighter in the first years. In other words, the
moment the Iranians decide to seize the opportunity, they will break
through with a bomb very quickly. Iran is retaining the option to
produce a nuclear weapon whenever it feels like it.
Netanyahu's outcry that is stopping Obama from taking the last step
towards the Iranians. England, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, and
especially France, are unhappy with the agreement that is taking shape.
As long as he fails to create a consensus with his partners, he cannot
present the agreement to the American people.
What could go wrong?
Labels: Barack Hussein Obama, Binyamin Netanyahu, Europe, Iran sanctions regime, Iranian nuclear threat, Knesset elections 2015, P 5+1