Jewish support for Obama down 7% in Florida compared to '08
A new poll shows that Jewish support for President Obama in Florida, a crucial swing state, has declined by 7% since 2008
(Hat Tip: Memeorandum
A total of 69% of Florida Jews said they would
vote for Obama in November’s presidential elections, down from an
estimated 76% in 2008, the AJC noted.
A 7 percentage-point drop in the Jewish vote
likely represents over 50,000 votes in a state that the Republicans won
in 2000 by fewer than 600 votes.
The 69% figure closely matches the results of a
Gallup poll among Jewish voters nationwide from last weekend, which put
support for Obama among US Jews at 70%.
Only 25% of Florida Jews said they would vote for Mitt Romney, according to the AJC poll.
Republicans have invested unprecedented
resources — including buying billboards, print advertisements and
door-to-door canvassing — to target hundreds of thousands of Jews in
swing states whom the Republican Jewish Coalition has suggested may be
considering turning away from their traditional Democratic affiliation.
The AJC’s telephone poll was conducted among 254 registered Jewish
voters between September 7-9. The AJC expects to publish, within the
coming weeks, a poll of Jewish voters in Ohio — another key battleground
state — and a nationwide poll.
74% would support Israeli military action to
stop the Iranian nuclear program, an action the Obama administration has
vehemently opposed at this stage in both public and private statements.
While Florida Jewish voters favor Democrats
over Republicans on national security (by 66% vs. 27%), and on the
economy (68% vs. 28%), the Democratic lead narrows significantly when
voters are asked about the parties’ handling of US-Israeli relations
(54% vs. 35%).
And, while Obama enjoys a 61% approval rating
for his handling of the US-Israel relationship, Florida Jewish voters
give Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — who has clashed
repeatedly with Obama on several issues — a 72% approval rating in
handling the relationship.
On Iran, 94% are “concerned” (79% are “very
concerned”; 15% are “somewhat concerned”) about “the prospect of Iran
obtaining nuclear weapons.” A smaller majority (53% vs. 43%), believe it
is unlikely that diplomacy and sanctions will stop Iran from developing
nuclear weapons. And 62% support US military action if diplomacy and
sanctions fail. As already noted, an even higher number, 74%, support an
Israeli military action, while only 17% oppose such an action.
The figures on Israel may explain the drop in
support for Obama from 2008: A large majority of poll participants, 86%,
said they agreed (66% strongly, 20% somewhat) with the statement:
“Caring about Israel is a very important part of my being a Jew.”
Maybe American Jews are starting - very slowly - to get it.
Labels: Barack Hussein Obama, Campaign 2012, Jewish vote, Mitt Romney