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Thursday, June 09, 2011

Iranian Revolutionary Guard anticipating day after nuclear bomb test

Al-Guardian reports that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard's website is already anticipating the day after the first test of a nuclear bomb.
Any mention of an Iranian nuclear weapon is taboo in the Islamic Republic, which insists that its nuclear programme is entirely for peaceful, civil purposes. So it is remarkable, to say the least, that an article has appeared on the Gerdab website, run by Iran's Revolutionary Guards, anticipating the day after Iran's first test of a nuclear warhead. Here is a translation of the text:
The day after Iran's first nuclear test is a normal day.

The day after Islamic Republic of Iran's first nuclear test will be an ordinary day for us Iranians but in the eyes of some of us there will be a new sparkle.

It's a good day. It's seven in the morning. The sun is not fully up yet but everywhere is bright. In the northern hemisphere many countries are beginning the day...

The day before, probably in central deserts of Iran, where once Americans and some other Western countries wanted to bury their nuclear waste, an underground nuclear explosion has taken place. The strength of the explosion was not so great as to cause severe damage to the region nor so weak that Iranian scientists face any problems in running their tests.

Today is a normal day like any other. Like 90% of the year, there is news about Iran, and these are the headlines which can be seen on foreign news sites:

Reuters: Iran detonated its nuclear bomb
CNN: Iran detonated nuclear bomb
Al-Jazeera: The second Islamic nuclear bomb was tested
Al-Arabia: The Shia nuclear bomb was tested
Yahoo! News: Nuclear explosion in Iran
Jerusalem Post: Mullahs obtained nuclear weapon
Washington Post: Nuclear explosion in Iran, Shock and despair in Tel Aviv

Meanwhile, the domestic media will offer many congratulations to the Hidden Imam and the Supreme Leader:
It's surprising to see Iran flaunting the possibility of their obtaining a nuclear weapon in this manner. The Guardian quotes Meir Javedanfar, an Israeli expert on Iran:
I have never seen anything like this report. It's breaking a major taboo. For now we have to treat it as a one off. However if this report is followed by others similar to it, then it would signify a major change in the way Iran refers to its nuclear program. It would mean that Iran has decided to use the idea of a nuclear bomb as a deterrence against further sanctions and the possibility of a military attack by the West. It could also be a tool for the regime to boost its waning popularity at home.

Such a change could prove to be very damaging in the short and long term, as it would be a significant boost for western efforts to isolate Iran and to consolidate the international consensus against the Islamic Republic and its nuclear program. Such isolation and deteriorating economic situation could be more damaging to the regime's top priority, which is its survival, than a military attack by the West.
Maybe. Or maybe Iran is hoping that a display of national self-confidence about its nuclear program will convince the West that Iran cannot be stopped.

Read the whole thing.

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3 Comments:

At 10:26 PM, Blogger Juniper in the Desert said...

The day after Iran's first nuclear test, there wont BE an Iran!!

 
At 11:21 PM, Blogger Unbeliever said...

Wouldn't it be great to hit them just as they prepare for the test, take out Amadjihad and all the ayatollahs? Hey, I can dream.

There won't be any despair in Tel Aviv. Jerusalem, sure. People in TA are too busy partying to care.

 
At 11:55 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Carl, I would wager door can't-be-stopped number two on that. But what would the day after be like if Israel used those same "central deserts of Iran" for its own first test of a nuclear-armed missile? That should be a normal day too, shouldn't it? They are deserts for gosh sake. Who's to object, the EPA?

 

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