Jonathan Schanzer argues that the collapse of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and the civil war in Syria present a unique opportunity to
strangle Hamas once and for all.
What can Washington do, exactly?
For one, Congress and the administration could stop wringing
its hands over whether the toppling of Morsy was a coup and instead openly encourage
continued operations against the tunnels (while also holding the army to
account as it navigates complicated transition).
Congress, which dishes out
some $500 million per year to the Palestinians, could also quietly work with the
Palestinian Authority to scale back the funds that flow to Gaza.
From there, the United States could attempt to use whatever
leverage it has to convince both Turkey and Qatar to cut back on their funding
of Hamas. Admittedly, Washington doesn't have much pull in Ankara and Doha
these days -- they have more sway with us -- but Congress could pull strings to
speed up delivery of or withhold the advanced weapons systems that both
countries are eagerly awaiting, depending upon how the conversation goes. Turkey,
for example, is expecting Sidewinder
missiles and Chinook
helicopters, and it would like to purchase Predator
and Reaper drones. Qatar, for its part, is expecting delivery of Large
Aircraft Infrared Countermeasures (LAIRCM)
Systems, and 500 Javelin-Guided
Missiles.
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, a strident
proponent of Hamas on the world stage, is unlikely to be swayed. Erdogan
insists that Hamas must be part of the political equation when negotiating
peace with Israel. Qatar, however, presents possibilities. The former emir, Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jabor al-Thani, recently
abdicated the throne for his son, Tamim. The new emir is still learning his way
on the world stage, and it is possible, some analysts
suggest, that he could be persuaded to adopt new policies that promote
moderation in the Middle East.
While
the math is fuzzy, one thing is clear -- the Egyptian army's tunnel operations
are slowly strangling Hamas. If one or more of the Islamist movement's other
funders cut back their aid even a little, its financial crisis will only
deepen. The more acute the crisis, the more Gazans will grow frustrated with
their Islamist rulers. A Muslim Brotherhood government just fell unexpectedly
in Cairo -- if Hamas doesn't watch its back, it could happen again in Gaza.
Read it all.
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