Here's Soccer Dad's Middle East Media Sampler for Monday, April 8.
1) The language of concessions
The Washington Post reports Kerry presses Israel and Palestinians for concessions to pave way for peace talks:
Kerry first visited Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who has
resisted new talks for most of the past four years. His government had
sought to file a complaint against Israel with the International
Criminal Court over home-building in Jerusalem but put the plan on hold
shortly before Kerry arrived.
Kerry was expected to ask Abbas to drop or suspend the complaint as a
way to build confidence among Israeli leaders that talks can be
fruitful, Arab officials said.
and
Israel and Turkey must stick to their agreement to end a nearly
three-year estrangement as a building block for wider Middle East
peacemaking, Kerry said Sunday.
Kerry did not sugarcoat concern that politics in Turkey could delay or
derail the deal struck last month among Obama and the volatile leaders
of the two key U.S. allies. Kerry added stops in Turkey and Israel to an
unrelated trip to shore up that agreement.
...
“The foreign minister has expressed very clearly to me, in response to
an inquiry by me, that they have taken steps to try to prevent any kind
of sense of triumphalism,” Kerry said.
In the first case, what exactly is the Palestinian concession? The
Palestinians under the leadership of Mahmoud Abbas violated the premise
of bilateral negotiations by pursuing cases against Israel in
international fora. This was a policy consciously adopted by Abbas and
specifically spelled out in a New York Times op-ed nearly two years ago.
Abandoning a violation of an agreement is hardly a concession, but the
reporter (apparently reflecting Secretary Kerry's view) calls this a
"confidence building measure." If that's a confidence building measure
then the Palestinians have hit upon an excellent strategy: violate other
terms of their agreements with Israel and offer to stop the violation
in return for some concrete Israeli action.
In the latter case note the parallelism of the reporter. While he
mentions "politics in Turkey" he also refers to the "volatile leaders"
of Israel and Turkey. But the "volatile leader" of Turkey is responsible
for those politics; what is the "volatile leader" of Israel responsible
for?
It's good that Secretary Kerry brought up the issue of tone with
Davutoglu, but will he push him? Will Kerry tell Turkey that the
country's leadership is squandering a chance to repair relations with
Israel and further American interests and that the United States will
hold the government responsible for this failure?
It would appear that the United States has the possibility of using an
opportunity here. But will it allow its enemies - I'm including Turkey
as an enemy - to dictate the terms of the future of the Middle East, or
will it assert itself? Unfortunately, there is little in this article to
suggest that the former is true.
2) The language of destruction
Remember the flap a few years ago if Mahmoud Ahmadinejad really said
that he intended to wipe Israel off the map? It was treated by many as a
curiosity. Surely has statement was exagerrated was due to a bad
translation or a misunderstanding of Iranian culture and idioms.
Prof. Joshua Teitelbaum and Lt. Col. (ret.) Michael (Mickey) Segal have put together a comprehensive look at statements and threats (.pdf) made by Iranian leadership over the years. Their conclusion:
It is manifestly clear that the statements of Iran’s leaders continue to
constitute incitement to genocide of the people of Israel. They remain
alarmingly similar to the coded statements of
incitement that preceded the Rwandan genocide of the Tutsis in 1994, and
should therefore alarm all peace-loving people.
There is ample legal basis for the prosecution of Ahmadinejad and other
Iranian leaders in the International Court of Justice and the
International Criminal Court for direct and public incitement
to commit genocide and crimes against humanity.
Perhaps it would be better not to describe Erdogan's statements about Zionism as a mere "flap."
3) The meaning of a selection
Jonathan Schanzer analyzes the recent selection of Hamas.
Notably absent in this leadership selection process was Turkey, which
has become a rather outspoken champion of Hamas in recent years. Last
year, Ankara reportedly provided $300 million to Hamas. It continues to
export goods to Gaza and help with costly reconstruction projects after
the 2012 conflict with Israel. Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan recently
announced he would visit Gaza, too. Yet, Turkey does not figure
prominently in the new leadership structure (that we know of).
Nor is Sudan's role reflected in the new make-up, but Meshal is a
frequent visitor to Khartoum, where the Bashir regime coordinates
closely with the regime in Tehran. While Iran-Hamas-Sudan ties have been
documented for years, Haniyeh's selection, to some extent, reinforces
the importance of Hamas' close ties with both Sudan and Iran, which
furnishes short-and long-range rockets and other weaponry to the
Palestinian terrorist groups.
In other words, the Hamas leadership selection reflects absolutely no
changes in the group's approach to terrorism or rejectionism. Meshal,
during a visit to Gaza in December, vowed that Hamas would continue its
strategy of violence against Israel. With a new four-year term, it's
reasonable to expect more of the same.
This attachment to Iran is important, because Egypt - acting out of its
own self-interest - has not been the most reliable ally for Hamas
recently. A few days ago Egypt seized an Iranian ship apparently bringing arms to the Sinai.
@phillipsmyth Quite! Additional point: #Egypt is pursuing interest-based policy towards #Gaza, so #Hamas still needs #Iran. #pt
— Aymenn J Al-Tamimi (@ajaltamimi) April 7, 2013
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