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Saturday, April 17, 2010

Syria has earned its place in the next war

Noah Pollak explains how President Assad's actions this week have ensured him a place in the next Middle East war.
Syria is in fact now in more danger than the Israelis. The IDF’s Arrow missile-defense system can knock Scuds out of the sky with great reliability, so they don’t pose a tremendous a threat. What they do provide to Israel is an opportunity — and they impose a requirement. The fact that they were transferred to Hezbollah in violation of tacit but well-understood red lines gives Israel clear and credible casus belli, should hostilities break out, to expand any conflict to Syria.

The crossing of the Scud-missile red line carries its own inexorable logic: since Syria has chosen to become a provider of military-grade weapons to Hezbollah, Israel has little choice but to include Syria in any future war with Hezbollah. And if Israel goes to war with Syria, there will be little rationale, given the risks involved and the immense reward of ridding the region of Iran’s only ally, from going for regime change.
And the American role in all this? Read the whole thing.


At 6:04 AM, Blogger NormanF said...

The Obama Administration demands Israel prove its sincerity for peace but refuses to hold Syria accountable for breaking the 2006 agreement and for sponsoring terrorism against Americans in Iraq.

No wonder the State Department doesn't see a double standard! What could go wrong indeed


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