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Thursday, December 25, 2008

Likud losing votes to nationalist parties

I told you all that I was not going to vote Likud because of the way Likud leader Binyamin Netanyahu treated Moshe Feiglin (pictured). A lot of you have vehemently disagreed with me (read the comments at the previous link). But my feelings are not uncommon.

Two new polls out on Thursday indicate that Likud's lead over Kadima is shrinking, but that most of the votes are going in favor of nationalist parties.
Several weeks ago, Netanyahu was solidly ahead in the polls, leaving his rival, Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni of the ruling Kadima party, lagging behind by as many as nine seats. The new polls showed his lead shrinking to four seats, but potential hawkish partners gaining the strength he lost.

A Dialog survey published in Haaretz showed Likud winning 30 of parliament's 120 seats, down from 36 seats in its previous poll two week ago. The poll, which surveyed 475 people and had a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points, had Kadima winning 26 seats, down one from its previous showing.

A Dahaf survey published in Yediot Ahronot had identical results. That poll surveyed 525 people and had a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.

Camil Fuchs, who supervises Dialog's survey, linked the shift to Netanyahu's machinations to drop the ranking of hawkish candidate Moshe Feiglin on Likud's slate of candidates for parliament. Netanyahu had been afraid that a higher ranking would have alienated moderate voters whose support he hoped to court.

But the polls suggest the move backfired, driving some former Netanyahu backers into the arms of other nationalist parties that hold a conservative stance on territorial concessions that may be part of a future peace with the Palestinians and Syria.
Heh. Maybe Netanyahu will get stuck with a religious and nationalist coalition after all.

Haaretz notes the trend described above, but does not indicate which parties have gained in its poll. YNet notes the possibility of a 'world war' over Binyamin Netanyahu's efforts to bring former NRP leader Effi Eitam into the Likud. That may be Netanyahu's way of making up to the right for his shafting of Feiglin.


At 7:01 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Heh. Maybe Netanyahu will get stuck with a religious and nationalist coalition after all."

You sound just like this.

Note the comments there, including mine.

You will vote for some silly little party (possibly willing to bend over backwards in return for joining a coalition and being thrown crumbs) and end up with Kadima.

"Hit me again!" That'll show 'em.

At 9:16 PM, Blogger NormanF said...

I think its important for Bibi to get brakes. He wants to have a coalition with Kadima and the Left and that option must be denied him. A change of course is needed in Israel and it must be forced on him whether he likes it or not.


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