Homs Central Prison, #Homs, 08-09-2013: Regime forces are carrying out a massacre of inmates in Homs Central Prison, shooting detainees
— Free Syria Media Hub (@Fsa_Media_Hub) September 8, 2013
Report from Syria: There are moderates and they do control territory
Elizabeth O'Bagy has been to Syria many times over the past year, and reports that the stories about the rebels being dominated by al-Qaeda are not true. She says that while there are extremists among the rebels, there are also non-Islamists. She believes that an American attack on Bashar al-Assad ought to benefit the non-Islamists.
Contrary to many media accounts, the war in Syria is not being waged
entirely, or even predominantly, by dangerous Islamists and al Qaeda
die-hards. The jihadists pouring into Syria from countries like Iraq and
Lebanon are not flocking to the front lines. Instead they are
concentrating their efforts on consolidating control in the northern,
rebel-held areas of the country.
Groups like Jabhat al Nusra, an al Qaeda affiliate, are all too happy
to take credit for successes on the battlefield, and are quick to lay
claim to opposition victories on social media. This has often led to the
impression that these are spearheading the fight against the Syrian
government. They are not.
These groups care less about defeating Assad than they do about
establishing and holding their Islamic emirate in the north of the
country. Many Jabhat al Nusra fighters left in the middle of ongoing
rebel operations in Homs, Hama and Idlib to head for Raqqa province once
the provincial capital fell in March 2013. During the battle for Qusayr
in late May, Jabhat al Nusra units were noticeably absent. In early
June, rebel reinforcements rallied to take the town of Talbiseh, north
of Homs city, while Jabhat al Nusra fighters preferred to stay in the
liberated areas to fill the vacuum that the Free Syrian Army affiliates
had left behind.
Moderate opposition forces—a collection of groups known as the Free
Syrian Army—continue to lead the fight against the Syrian regime. While
traveling with some of these Free Syrian Army battalions, I've watched
them defend Alawi and Christian villages from government forces and
extremist groups. They've demonstrated a willingness to submit to
civilian authority, working closely with local administrative councils.
And they have struggled to ensure that their fight against Assad will
pave the way for a flourishing civil society. One local council I
visited in a part of Aleppo controlled by the Free Syrian Army was
holding weekly forums in which citizens were able to speak freely, and
have their concerns addressed directly by local authorities.
Moderate opposition groups make up the majority of actual fighting
forces, and they have recently been empowered by the influx of arms and
money from Saudi Arabia and other allied countries, such as Jordan and
France. This is especially true in the south, where weapons provided by
the Saudis have made a significant difference on the battlefield, and
have helped fuel a number of recent rebel advances in Damascus.
Thanks to geographic separation from extremist strongholds and
reliable support networks in the south, even outdated arms sent by the
Saudis, like Croatian rocket-launchers and recoilless rifles, have
allowed moderate rebel groups to make significant inroads into areas
that had previously been easily defended by the regime, and to withstand
the pressure of government forces in the capital. In recent months, the
opposition has achieved major victories in Aleppo, Idlib, Deraa and
Damascus—nearly reaching the heart of the capital—despite the regime's
consolidation in Homs province.
At this stage in the conflict, barring a major bombing campaign by
the U.S., sophisticated weaponry, including anti-tank and anti-aircraft
weapon systems, may be the opposition's best chance at sustaining its
fight against Assad. This is something only foreign governments, not
jihadists, can offer. Right now, Saudi sources that are providing the
rebels critical support tell me that they haven't sent more effective
weaponry because the U.S. has explicitly asked them not to.
Did the IAF hit missiles being hidden in Homs? (With video)
The New York Times reported on Thursday that at least some of the Russian Yakhont missiles that Syria was hiding in Latakia were not in the warehouses when Israel allegedly struck them on July 5. This is from the first link.
While the warehouse was destroyed, American
intelligence analysts have now concluded that at least some of the
Yakhont missiles had been removed from their launchers and moved from
the warehouse before the attack.
The officials who described the new assessment declined to be identified
because they were discussing classified information.
...
After the Israeli attack, the Assad government sought to hide the fact
that the missiles had been missed by setting fire to launchers and
vehicles at the site to create the impression of a devastating blow,
according to American intelligence reports.
The Pentagon did not respond to a request for comment. Israel has a
longstanding policy of silence on pre-emptive military strikes.
Another factor that could lead to a military response by Israel is the
continuing flow of weapons to the Assad government, some of which Israel
fears may make its way to Hezbollah in neighboring Lebanon.
The Times also provided new information about the July 5 strike.
The July 5 attack near Latakia was the fourth known Israeli airstrike in Syria this year.
Providing new details, American officials said that it had been carried
out by Israeli aircraft that flew over the eastern Mediterranean, fired
air-to-ground missiles and never entered Syrian airspace. The route of
the Israeli aircraft led to some erroneous reports that the attack had
been carried out by an Israeli submarine.
About an hour and a half ago, there was a huge explosion in Homs, in central Syria, which was much larger than usual explosions there. 40 people were killed and 160 wounded.
Activists said the explosion, which appeared to be significantly
larger than most bombs used daily by either side in the two-year-old
Syrian conflict, ripped through the southeastern neighborhood of
al-Nozha.
The neighborhood is majority Alawite, the same sect as
President Bashar Assad. Sunni Muslim insurgents have targeted Alawite
areas, especially military positions, around the country with bombs and
mortars.
Let's go to the videotape.
Note that there were two large explosions - the first looked like a mushroom cloud and happened before the video started, while the second one was smaller and off to the right around the 0:19 mark.
Typically, when weapons are hit, you see a lot of secondary explosions. I didn't see any here, but then the video seems to be shot from an upper story of a building and not from way overhead like the IAF shoots videos.
The distance from Latakia to Homs is 176.9 kilometers.
I don't think the IAF did it this time. But whoever did it had an awful lot of explosives or hit a huge weapons depot, which probably belonged to Assad loyalists.
'These weapons were not to be used on Israel; they were to be used on us'
An officer who defected from the Assad regime's army speaks to a Shaam
News Network (SNN) reporter about the type of rockets which have fallen
on the besieged city of Homs thus far. Interview filmed July 8, 2013.
A report has come in on Twitter indicating that shots have been fired at Bashar al-Assad's motorcade in Homs. No confirmation and no report of casualties yet. But the source is Sultan al-Qassemi, who is a journalist with the National (UAE) and is generally reliable.
The report did not give further details and did not specify the origin of the shooting.
Syrian state television showed video of Assad, wearing an open-necked shirt with a blue suit, walking casually in the Baba Amr district, which was reclaimed by his forces earlier this month after 26 days of heavy bombardment.
"Life will return to normal in Baba Amr, better than it was before," Assad told a group of people shouting support for the president.
...
Assad, walking slowly through the streets under light rain, saw shattered and burned out buildings. He waved and smiled to small crowds who came out to greet him.
A spokesman for peace envoy Kofi Annan, representing the United Nations and the Arab League, said on Tuesday Assad had accepted basic terms of a peace plan that calls for national dialogue and does not hinge on his agreement to leave office and give up power.
"He thinks he won and scored a great victory," said opposition activist Saif Hurria, speaking by telephone from Homs.
"He wants to show the world he defeated and put down a revolution. But in fact he can't control Homs ... It seems he can't even release the video until he has left Homs. That is not control."
Iranian rappers sing song against Assad and Medvedev
Here's a video made by Iranian rappers singing a song against Bashar al-Assad and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev. It goes without saying that this is 'illegal' in 'free' Iran.
Let's go to the videotape. Warning: Graphic images.
Two foreign journalists have escaped from the Syrian city of Homs and made their way to Lebanon. One of them, French journalist Edith Bouvier, was forced to turn back earlier in the week due to her injuries when the escape party came under attack.
Bouvier’s journey to Lebanon capped an anxious eight days of intense negotiations and at least one failed attempt to get the injured journalist out of Homs.
A freelance reporter in Syria for the French daily Le Figaro, Bouvier was wounded in an attack on the Baba Amro district of Homs, which killed veteran American reporter Marie Colvin and French photographer Remi Ochlik.
She was trapped in Homs with French photographer William Daniel. Witnesses told Reuters that Daniel had arrived in Lebanon with Bouvier.
On Wednesday, another journalist who was also in Baba Amro, Spanish journalist Javier Espinosa, arrived in Lebanon. His escape came days after wounded British photographer Paul Conroy braved a perilous journey to make it safely to Lebanon.
Most Syrian rebels pulled out of the besieged Baba Amro district of Homs on Thursday after a 26-day siege by Syrian President Bashar Assad's forces, activists in contact with the fighters said.
They said a few fighters had remained behind in the shattered quarter to cover the "tactical withdrawal" of their comrades.
Syrian forces again shelled Baba Amro earlier in the day, despite world alarm at the plight of civilians trapped there.
Snow blanketed the city, slowing a ground assault begun on Wednesday, but also worsening the misery of residents short of food, fuel, power, water and telephone links, activists said.
Reports from the city could not be verified immediately due to tight government restrictions on media operations in Syria.
...
A Lebanese official close to Damascus said Assad's government was determined to regain control of Homs, Syria's third city, which straddles the main north-south highway.
"They want to take it, whatever happens, without restraint, whatever the cost," the official said, asking not to be named.
He said defeat for the rebels in Homs would leave the opposition without any major stronghold in Syria, easing the crisis for Assad, who remained confident he could survive.
As horrible as this sounds, it might not be much different if the situation were reversed.
Free Syrian army claims to have US and French weapons, Bouvier still in Homs
A man claiming to be a General in the Free Syrian Army told Reuters that his group has received weapons and anti-aircraft missiles from the US and France as forces loyal to Bashar al-Assad launched an all-out assault on Homs' Baba Amro neighborhood, where several Western journalists are holed up.
Let's go to the videotape.
This morning it was reported that while British photographer Paul Conroy did escape from Homs to Lebanon on Tuesday, contrary to earlier reports, French journalist Edith Bouvier was too badly wounded to be able to escape and that she remains in a 'safe house' in Homs.
Syrian troops launched a ground attack in Homs on Wednesday in an apparent attempt to overrun the rebel-held Baba Amro neighborhood that has endured 25 days of siege and fierce bombardment, opposition sources said.
"The army is trying to go in with infantry from the direction of al-Bassel football field and fierce confrontations with automatic rifles and heavy machine guns are taking place there," activist Mohammad al-Homsi told Reuters from Homs.
He said the military had shelled Baba Amro heavily on Tuesday and overnight before the ground attack started.
Of course, reports from Homs cannot be verified.
The United Nations said on Tuesday that over 7500 civilians have been killed since the Syrian uprising started last March.
British and French journalists 'safe' in Lebanon, smuggled out pictures and videos
Paul Conroy, a British photographer working for the Sunday Times, and Edith Bouvier, a French correspondent for Le Figaro, were reported to have travelled safely out of Syria overnight and were in Lebanon on Tuesday morning. Both were wounded while covering the Syrian army's shelling of Homs last week in an attack that killed Marie Colvin of the Sunday Times and Remi Ochlik, a French photographer.
Israel Radio reports that the reason it was so difficult to get them out is because they refused to be evacuated by the Red Cross (yes, they said Red Cross - not Red Crescent - not clear why) because that would have necessitated going through Damascus and they would have had their photographs and videos confiscated by the Syrian forces.
According to Israel Radio, Conroy and Bouvier were evacuated by the Syrian rebels, who were willing to risk their lives to get them out because of what they were carrying with them. In fact, Israel Radio reports that 23 members of the Free Syrian Army were killed in the evacuation.
I am an Orthodox Jew - some would even call me 'ultra-Orthodox.' Born in Boston, I was a corporate and securities attorney in New York City for seven years before making aliya to Israel in 1991 (I don't look it but I really am that old :-). I have been happily married to the same woman for thirty-five years, and we have eight children (bli ayin hara) ranging in age from 13 to 33 years and nine grandchildren. Four of our children are married! Before I started blogging I was a heavy contributor on a number of email lists and ran an email list called the Matzav from 2000-2004. You can contact me at: IsraelMatzav at gmail dot com