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Wednesday, July 23, 2014

What Hamas planned to do with the terror tunnels - UPDATED

The IDF has not yet located and destroyed all of Hamas' terror tunnels, but the consensus about the intent behind them is quite clear. This is Jonathan Dahoah HeLevi of the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs.
Ismail Haniyeh, the Hamas prime minister, delivered a revealing speech on March 23, 2014, in which he stressed the strategic importance of the Hamas attack tunnels, which, he argued, have changed the balance of power with Israel, when taken together with his organization’s military build-up. In the meantime, the IDF’s war against the tunnels continues. On Monday IDF forces thwarted another terror attack after two groups of Hamas operatives (numbering about ten) infiltrated from Gaza to Israel through a tunnel, apparently on their way to carry out a mass casualty attack at Kibbutz Erez and/or Kibbutz Nir Am.
Since Operation Protective Edge began, IDF forces have foiled several other attempted attacks by Hamas near Kibbutz Sufa and Kibbutz Nirim that also made use of attack tunnels, while uncovering and blowing up dozens of tunnels in Gaza along its border with Israel. These tunnels penetrate deep into Israeli territory, sometimes reaching a length of 2.4 kilometers (1.5 miles).
The attack tunnels create a new equation in the power balance between Israel and Hamas. They give Hamas an ability to infiltrate Israel and carry out strategic attacks involving mass killing, along with an ability to launch missiles from locations concealed within civilian population centers that serve, in effect, as human shields. Should Hamas retain in the future 20 tunnels, and dispatch 50 operatives in each, they could deploy 1,000 men behind Israeli lines. The tunnels would allow Hamas to wreak havoc if they are left in place.
Hizbullah’s tactics, learned from Iran, have been replicated in Gaza, particularly the use of the tunnels to provide “breathing space” in waging the military campaign. The Hamas-Hizbullah-Iranian aim is to cause as much harm as possible to the civilian population and weaken Israel by damaging its economy. Like Hizbullah, Hamas in the current round has tried to strike strategic targets in Israel and inflict mass casualties, including the nuclear reactor in Dimona, the chemical plants in Haifa, and Ben-Gurion International Airport.
Despite the reconciliation agreement with Fatah and the establishment of the unity government, one of Hamas’s objectives in the war is to ignite another intifada on the West Bank aimed ultimately at the toppling of Palestinian Authority rule and instituting a Hamas takeover of the Palestinian national movement. This current round of fighting highlights the importance of continued Israeli security control of key areas of the West Bank to prevent a Hamas takeover of the Palestinian Authority, and the maintenance of minimal defensible borders should a Palestinian state be established.
Then there's this assessment from Times of Israel's David Horovitz.
The prime danger, the second half of the terror strategy that has required us to send our troops into Gaza, has turned out to be Hamas’s cross-border tunneling, the scale of which was not publicly known until the last few days. Labor Party leader Isaac Herzog spoke Tuesday of the “unimaginable” mega-terror attack Hamas is believed to have been planning — sending hundreds of terrorists swarming through those tunnels to massacre Israelis in the Gaza-envelope kibbutzim and moshavim. Netanyahu said Sunday that the intended Hamas attacks on kibbutz kindergartens, homes and dining halls would have been “catastrophic.”
Five times in recent days, trying to use those tunnels before the army finds them, well-armed terror gangs have made their way through — entering them from beneath homes in the Gaza neighborhoods a few hundred yards from the border, and emerging inside Israel. An estimated 20 Hamas gunmen have been killed in the subsequent confrontations; so have six IDF soldiers. Kibbutzim and moshavim close to Gaza have been placed on shutdown for long hours while the army made sure there were no more killers on the loose. Troop deployments on the Israeli side have been significantly bolstered.
But those are defensive measures. The real battle is taking place in those Gaza border neighborhoods — Shejaiya, Beit Lahiya, Beit Hanoun and others — where thousands of Israeli solders are searching, house to house, for the tunnel entrances. Dozens of openings have been found — multiple entrances to the underground passages that also have multiple exits on the Israeli side. Time after time, Hamas gunmen have sought to surprise the Israeli soldiers by rising out of the earth from these openings, and firing. They’ve been largely unsuccessful. Ten Hamas gunmen were shot dead attempting the feat from one tunnel opening inside a mosque on Sunday, military sources said — just one of numerous such incidents.
Israel says some 210 Hamas fighters have been killed; more than 20 have been captured and are providing intelligence on the tunnels.
And finally there's this - long on details that I have been unable to confirm and short on verification or even a source (the person who posted it on Facebook did so without a link and has refused repeated entreaties to post one). Even if the details are all wrong (and they're probably not - lots of information that the army doesn't release gets disclosed around the water coolers at Israeli workplaces), it is a concrete example of what HaLevi and Horovitz are discussing above.
From the 48 Hamas prisoners that have been captured, the intelligence have been interrogating them and the most terrifying, and horrific picture is being built.
They are being investigated about the many tunnels that have been found and dug under many kibbutzim that surround Gaza. The most terrifying detail is being uncovered that Hamas had a plan to attack all the settlements and kibbutzim in the area this year on Rosh Hashanah with an invasion of over 200 terrorists into almost all the settlements in the area. The tunnels went under the kibbutzim under the kindergartens and dining rooms and other areas within the kibbutz perimeters. They planned to occupy the whole area and kill as many Israeli as possible.
This could have been the worst terror attack in the history of terrorism. Thousands of people, including women and children would have been slaughtered in this planned attack.
I think now we start to understand how dangerous these tunnels really are. They all have to be destroyed and we cannot leave even one undetected or unattended to. These tunnels are more dangerous than any rocket or any other weapon .
 Sounds to me like Mumbai....


Maariv has now confirmed the date - Rosh HaShanah - about two months from now (link in Hebrew).  They are also confirming that the plan was to send 200 terrorists per tunnel into six different 'settlements' near the Gaza border to murder or kidnap as many Israelis as possible. The tunnels are not straight, but intersect at various points. I will have more on this in a later post.

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At 5:44 PM, Blogger Sunlight said...

I REALLY REALLY want Condi Rice to look at this closely. This is NOT NOT NOT a group of MLK-type civil rights victims. Condi pushed for Israel to leave Gaza and for Hamas to be allowed into the govt. She also basically prevented a ground clean-out of Hezbollah tunnels, stockpiles, etc. in southern Lebanon in 2006 and set up a re-arming, re-stocking regime there. I would like to ask her what she thinks the legacy of her pressure is and whether she is up for trying to fix what she did, or wants Israel to disband, as part of undergoing a slaughter.

I have a picture taken with Marco Rubio two years ago and I have the same question for him. The "conservative" people are strong and have huge potential, but, for example, Rubio's open borders push is so much a re-establishment of slavery... and I want him to address it. Does he still think his "pathway to citizenship" would have lessened the disaster of MS-13 and what other gangsters and jihadis walking in as "children", or would it (if possible) been ever worse than now? I want Condi and Marco to hold a panel, maybe with Mark Levin, and tell us what they thought in doing these things, whether they feel a change in their views based on the extent of deatheating that their preferences have accommodated... and what can they advocate for now... both for Israel and for the US...

At 2:47 AM, Blogger topshot said...

Regarding the "info" about the 48 captured terrorists who revealed an attack planned for Rosh Hashana - - you are correct, this just didn't sound accurate. I asked the person who wrote it to name his source or provide a link -- my comment was then DELETED as were others' who requested sources... While Hamas is truly evil and their potential for cruelty is unlimited, let's not start spreading rumors, folks. The reality is bad enough, we don't need to embellish it further.

At 12:23 AM, OpenID ocschwar said...

Sounds like they wanted a Beslan.

At 5:14 PM, Blogger Kate Bopp said...

Re the request for a source about planned Rosh Hashanah attack, that wasn't a very well thought through question, was it? It would be reckless endangerment & thoroughly irresponsible to identify that source. Their entire family would be put at risk.


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