Jennifer Rubin is spot-on about the
risks of trying to open talks with the 'Palestinians.'
The danger in talks, of course, is that Palestinian expectations rise
and then are dashed, leading to violence (we’ve seen this pattern
before). A former U.S. official tells me: “The risk now is of a quick
breakdown that could even lead to violence in the West Bank.” He
concedes that preliminary talks about talks could drag on before they
peter out. He nevertheless cautions that “many people fear that the
breakdown will poison Israeli-Palestinian relations further, which will
help no one. And they will further weaken the West Bank leadership . . .
against Hamas, reminding the populace that these guys achieve nothing
(and have their hands in the till).”
Moreover, this is a foolish misuse of American attention and stature,
confirming both to our Sunni allies and the Iranian alliance that we
are fundamentally unserious about the real threats to region.
If Kerry wanted to be productive he might work on pushing the
Palestinians along the lines former Palestinian Authority prime minister
Salam Fayyad urged — improved security, civil institution building and
economic security. The U.S. official observes, “The slow and steady work
of building an economy and government institutions for the Palestinians
is once again being pushed aside for the goal of a handshake on the
White House lawn.”
In sum, Kerry’s efforts suggest the administration has learned
nothing from its first term. The Palestinian-Israeli conflict is not, as
Kerry insists, the center of the Middle East’s troubles. Pretending it
is invites failure, American humiliation and aggression by the powers
that should command our attention. In the meantime, the prospects for an
improved life for the Palestinians and a less confrontational
relationship with the Jewish state remain remote.
Not to mention that whenever there have been talks in the past, there has simultaneously been terrorism.
The problem isn't so much that they haven't learned anything since Obama's first term but that they haven't learned a thing since Eisenhower's first term
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