Ron Ben Yishai points out why an alleged Israeli attack on a weapons factory in Khartoum ought
to be causing some
sleepless nights in Tehran.
In 1985 Israeli jets
bombed the PLO headquarters in Tunis, but the fact that the target was
situated near the coast helped Israeli forces approach it undetected.
Khartoum, on the other hand, is located deep inside Sudanese territory
and is surrounded by numerous radar facilities.
The Sudanese minister said Israeli planes used electronic countermeasures
to avoid detection by Sudanese air defenses, but experts say they could
have flown over "dead areas" where they could not be detected by radars.
In any case, the Sudanese cannot prove Israel attacked the arms
factory.
However, if Israeli jets did carry out the strike, it means it
took place some 1,600 kilometers from Israel, nearly the same distance
between central Israel and the uranium enrichment plants in Iran – one
near the city of Kashan ("Natanz") and the other near Qom ("Fordo").
Therefore, the attack, if it was carried out by Israel, also sent a
strong message to Tehran.
Until now the Iranians did not take Israel's threats seriously. They
did not believe Israel had the ability to attack its nuclear
installations or that the Israeli government would have the courage to
risk losing dozens of pilots and planes. But now, after the attack in
Sudan and the bombing of a Syrian reactor in 2007, which foreign media
attributed to Israel, the Iranians may reassess Netanyahu and Barak's
seriousness when they declare that "all options are on the table."
There is no doubt that the explosions at the Sudanese arms factory
have given elements in Khartoum, Gaza and Tehran something to think
about.
Hmmm.
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