Middle East Intelligence Chief: Expect the unexpected
Military Intelligence Chief Aviv Kochavi said on Monday that we should expect the unexpected in light of the instability in our region."It will be an environment that deals with a series of crises, regional and internal, which raises the level of sensitivity of all players, and which could lead, without prior planning, to an eruption," said Kochavi.What could go wrong?
The annual intelligence evaluation is produced by the the Research Division of Military Intelligence, and is based on intelligence gathering by the IDF and the intelligence community at large.
It is designed to create a current regional evaluation and point out strategic and operational challenges. The report will be sent to the government as well.
Last month, during a briefing to the Foreign Ministry, Kochavi estimated that Syrian President, "Bashar al-Assad will not survive the uprising, even if it takes some more time." Kochavi expressed his concern that the Golan Heights region might become a terror hotbed, similar to the Sinai Peninsula.
Labels: Arab spring, Islamist, military intelligence
posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 4:34 AM
1 Comments:
"Bashar al-Assad will not survive the uprising, even if it takes some more time."
With all the support the Assad regime and it's Alawite minority are getting from Iran, Russia and China, it's hard to see the outcome of this apparent stalemate. Without this aid from fellow despots, Assad would long ago been in the grave next to Gaddafi, but with it, it seems a question mark.
What's your view, Carl? Do you think the Assad regime is doomed, that's it's just a matter of time?
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