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Friday, May 18, 2012

Israeli elites in 'lockdown mode': Is the attack on Iran coming?

Next Saturday will mark 31 years on the Jewish calendar since the group depicted above attacked the Iraqi nuclear plant at Osirak. There are a lot of eerie similarities between the lead-up to that attack and what's going on now with Iran: Israel was like the chicken warning that the sky was falling, the world continued to express its opposition, but did nothing, then the silence, and then the attack. Is it about to happen again?
Experts say that within a few months, much of Iran's nuclear program will have been moved deep underground beneath the Fordow mountain, making a successful military strike much more difficult.

...

As the deadline for a decision draws nearer, the public pronouncements of Israel's top officials and military have changed. After hawkish warnings about a possible strike earlier this year, their language of late has been more guarded and clues to their intentions more difficult to discern.

"The top of the government has gone into lockdown," one official said. "Nobody is saying anything publicly. That in itself tells you a lot about where things stand."

Last week Netanyahu pulled off a spectacular political surprise, creating a coalition of national unity and delaying elections which everyone believed were inevitable. The maneuver also led to speculation that the Israeli leader wanted a broad, strong government to lead a military campaign.

The inclusion of the Iranian-born former Israeli chief of staff and veteran soldier, Gen. Shaul Mofaz, in the coalition, fuelled that speculation - even though both Mofaz and Netanyahu deny that Iran was mentioned in the coalition negotiations.

"I think they have made a decision to attack," said one senior Israeli figure with close ties to the leadership. "It is going to happen. The window of opportunity is before the US presidential election in November. This way they will bounce the Americans into supporting them."

Those close to Netanyahu are more cautious, saying no assumptions should be made about an attack on Iran - an attack with such potentially devastating consequences across the volatile Middle East that Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas even went so far as to predict in an interview with Reuters last week that it would be "the end of the world".
I don't put much stock in Abu Bluff, but read the whole thing.

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4 Comments:

At 4:24 PM, Blogger Juniper in the Desert said...

Hopefully the end of HIS world and all the scum in it!!

 
At 8:01 PM, Blogger Captain.H said...

"Lockdown" security and secrecy can't be maintained indefinitely. Sooner or later, somebody says something publicly they shouldn't have or otherwise, some secret info somehow gets known. The enemy, evil but not stupid, but watching and listening carefully, then can put 2 plus 2 together. If, as the article states, the Israeli Cabinet has gone into "lockdown" mode, my guess is an Israeli strike, or strike campaign, is somewhere between now and several weeks, not months.

It usually doesn't take a genius to figure out politics and international affairs (I'm certainly not one), just a reasonably educated person who can think with some logic, and is well up on current events and some knowledge of history.

Be that as it may, my guess is very soon...and suddenly.

May the Lord watch over, guide and grant success to the fine men and women of the IDF.

 
At 10:56 AM, Blogger Mladen Andrijasevic said...

Let's remind ourselves why this is necessary.

Here is the video of Bernard Lewis on the doctrine of mutually assured detruction and Iran in 2009:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7fPoMAz2KgA&feature=BFa&list=PL89283053379203E9

and he is not alone

http://www.madisdead.blogspot.com/2011/07/mad-is-dead-another-iranian-nuclear.html

and what Charles Krauthammer wrote about the reasons for the unity government:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/echoes-of-67-israel-unites/2012/05/10/gIQA9tUaGU_story.html

 
At 10:59 AM, Blogger Mladen Andrijasevic said...

Let's remind ourselves why this is necessary.

Here is a video of Bernard Lewis on the doctrine of mutually assured detruction and Iran in 2009:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7fPoMAz2KgA&feature=BFa&list=PL89283053379203E9

and he is not alone

http://www.madisdead.blogspot.com/2011/07/mad-is-dead-another-iranian-nuclear.html

and what Charles Krauthammer wrote about the reasons for the unity government:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/echoes-of-67-israel-unites/2012/05/10/gIQA9tUaGU_story.html

 

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