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Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Obama has less Jewish support than any Democrat since Carter

You will recall that poll by the Public Religion Research Institute, headed by Leftist David Saperstein, which downplayed the lack of Jewish support for President Obama. Mitchell Bard looks at the sample's makeup and concludes that the poll's sample was biased in favor of the incumbent, who actually has less Jewish support than any Democrat since Jimmy Carter.
It was also no revelation to hear the poll found that 62% of Jews would vote for Obama. This is an improvement from the 54% in the Gallup Poll in September 2011, which may reflect that Jews feel better about his new approach to Israel, they believe the economy is improving or they’re simply disenchanted with their other choices. Nevertheless, 62% is potentially disastrous for Obama in a close election. Remember, he got 78% of the Jewish vote in 2008; 16 points is a precipitous decline.

Even the most delusional Republican does not expect any of their candidates to win a majority of the Jewish vote. But in a close election it could make a difference if the Republican gets more than 30% as Reagan and Bush Sr. did in their victories. Remember also that Bush’s Jewish vote dropped to 11% because of his anti-Israel policies and was trounced by Clinton in 1992.

The survey spinners also failed to consider historical perspective. Obama’s current support is the lowest percentage for any Democrat since Jimmy Carter. The average Jewish vote for a Democrat is 71%, so his support is significantly below average. In fact, the last two Democrats to receive less than 70% of the Jewish vote – Dukakis and Mondale – both lost.
Read the whole thing.

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