Next war will be InMyBackYard
I have often discussed - albeit not recently - how Israel's government is much more willing to let Sderot get hit than they are willing to let Tel Aviv get hit. You see Sderot is NotInMyBackYard. Its population is mostly poor, Sfardi and less educated, while Tel Aviv's is wealthy (or middle class), Ashkenazi and highly educated. But in the next war with Gaza, says Deputy Defense Minister Matan Vilnai, Hamas will fire missiles on Tel Aviv. And that's without even considering what Hezbullah might do. "In the next conflict with Gaza, even if it at a much lower intensity than a war, missiles will fall on Gush Dan -- for all purposes, inside Tel Aviv," Vilnai said at an international defense conference in metropolitan Tel Aviv.Barak won't preempt because he's a 'peace processor' and he's afraid that Israel might actually win an all-out war. So he'll rely on Iron Dome and hope that it can hit 50 missiles at a time as well as it can hit two.
Intelligence officials have warned for more than two years that the Hamas terrorist regime in Gaza has smuggled missiles that can reach far beyond southern Israel, which was targeted nearly three years ago, before and during the counterterrorist Operation Cast Lead campaign.
Hamas and other terrorist groups have at least 10,000 missiles and rockets, according to military intelligence estimates. Advanced weapons are smuggled, in whole or in parts for assembly, enter Gaza from Iran, often via Sudan.
Vilnai said that Israel is improving its defense capabilities against missiles, and referred to bomb shelters and missile interceptors as well as retaliatory measures.
Citing Israel’s tiny area, he said, "There is no country in the world that is threatened like the State of Israel," he said. "The only country that approximates it is South Korea."
Since the end of Operation Cast Lead, southern Israel has been attacked by nearly 300 missiles and rockets. Israel has carried out tit-for-tat retaliatory tactics, striking rocket manufacturing plants and terrorist tunnels. The Defense Ministry, headed by Ehud Barak, has not explained why orders have not been give to the IDF to conduct pre-emptive strikes before missiles cam bombard Israeli civilians.
But I don't expect the government to have a high tolerance level for Tel Aviv being bombed. After all, Tel Aviv is InMyBackYard.
Labels: Gaza, Hamas, Hezbullah, Katyusha rockets, Tel Aviv
posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 11:26 PM
3 Comments:
Well, I'm sorry but if that is the only way to make those libtards jump, so be it! They need to feel the heat to understand what the rest of Israel is suffering!
I think some of these fights are going to be InEveryone'sBackYards because when the U.S. and NATO stand down, others will surge forward. The West has been very wimpy about consistently enforcing even basic laws. Remember what Guliani said about re-establishing civil decency on the streets of NYC... that once they started enforcing the law even (or especially) against small infractions, the big infractions plummeted. But we have not been doing that within our countries or between our countries. So I think a bunch of places are in the crosshairs.
Re the Iron Dome, I keep thinking the important thing will be on these times when the rockets are coming over in ones and twos, to knock them down so that the fall back onto the senders' territory. That could cause a change in public perception of the enterprise from the sending neighborhoods. The question is whether the IDF will see it that way and have the nerve to do that (because you just know the internationals will squeal like a stuck pig.)
When it comes to Hamas in Gaza, the IDF חיל התותחנים still encompasses targetable retaliatory force to suppress and destroy those rockets. There are 1,500 launchers from 120 mm mortars to 155-200 mm self-propelled platforms. And once an artillery gun fires, unlike a rocket, that doesn't end it. You reload it and it can fire again and again. Gaza is well within artillery reach, particularly given the poor performance in repelling IDF advances into Gaza.
But no, if the goal is to avoid strategic military campaigns in order to enable Israel handing over territory in exchange for treaty promises written in invisible ink on toilet paper, what does it matter?
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