Forget the nukes, hit the government?
Michael Totten has an interesting take on a possible Israeli attack against Iran. A military attack against Iran should be rolled out only if every conceivable peaceful solution fails first. Striking Iran would, in all likelihood, ignite several Middle Eastern wars all at once. Hamas and Hezbollah would bombard Israel with missile attacks. Lebanon and Gaza would both come under massive counterbattery fire. The war could easily spill over into Iraq and put American soldiers at risk.Read the whole thing. It's a follow-up of his interview with Kahlili, which I discussed here.
The above scenario may sound like the worst, short of nuclear war, but it isn't. The worst-case scenario is a regional war that fails to stop Iran's nuclear program while keeping the regime in place. If the Israelis decide to use force, the nuclear facilities should not be the target. The government should be the target. And the U.S. should back Israel's play and even assist it, no matter how enraged American officials might be. The last thing any of us needs is a bloodied Iranian government with delusions of invincibility that later acquires the weapons of genocide and then sets out for revenge. As Ralph Waldo Emerson famously said, "If you shoot at a king you must kill him."
"If any power takes on the Revolutionary Guards," Kahlili says, "they will find sympathy from the Iranian people. Even Israel. Iranian people do not hate Israel like they do in Arab countries. We aren't Arabs. Persians are very different from Arabs."
Some may find it hard to believe Iranians might thank Israelis for ridding them of their government, but I don't. Not if civilian casualties are low and there's no occupation.
There are precedents.
I agree that taking out the nukes but leaving the government intact would cause problems (and trying to take out the nukes but failing would cause even more problems), but I'm not convinced the nukes would be dropped if we take out the government and leave the nukes intact. I'd rather see the IDF take out both.
posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 12:21 PM
6 Comments:
That is the crucial thing to do: hit the main "head" of the monster.
However, no doubt they will have their underground hide-outs so maybe a more direct method is needed.
But what is Israel waiting for? Why not strike now while the nuclear nazis are visiting the mohammedan in the White House????
The aim of an Israeli operation should be both to destroy Iran's nuclear installations and eliminate Iran's leadership so it cannot launch a lethal attack upon Israel. If you're going to deal with Iran, Israel should deal with the root of the problem: its anti-Semitic Islamic revolutionary regime. That is the true danger to Israel and its drive for nuclear hegemony is simply a reflection of its ideological commitment to wipe the Jewish State off the map. So Israel should strike both at the same time so there will be no doubt in any one's mind that Israel means it when it says no foe will be will be allowed to acquire the means to harm the Jewish people again. Instead of Israel being targeted for elimination, it must be its enemies that must be destroyed so every one remains in fear of Israel - and fear motivates enemies to hold their firepower far better than love.
Medvedev says Iranian threat should be treated seriously.....
BUT notes military action against Islamist Republic would be catastrophic.
Today France echoed the same BS.
Of course when Iran hits Israel that would not be catastrophic to a world who did nothing to prevent it??
Never forget means NOTHING. Which is why successive administrations and world bodies prior to Obama who knew this day would arrive sooner than later, also did nothing.
No one is going to hit the government or the arsenal of nukes. Face it.
The blood of a Jew means squat despite the lines of BS our elected officials and world leaders say to the opposite.
If the world choose to dismiss obvious signals prior to the Shoah what do we expect now? When the furnaces were going full blast and the stench of human flesh filled the air and the "ALLIES" refused to drop one bomb on the rail lines, what can we expect now??
Oh yes indeed, there was the "liberation." Thank G-d for the handful of poor souls that were saved. However, think of it this way:
The fireman are having dinner. They need to finish their dinner even though a fire rages around the corner. Of course no one will look at it that way because just at the right moment the fireman put down their forks moments before the people inside the fire take their last breath. They (the firemen) rush in to save them! (see disclaimer)
While I used to grieve over this revelation I am at peace with it because I know nothing will ever change when it comes to Jews. It is like a virus of hate lives in the hearts of humankind and there is no antidote for it.
disclaimer:
I am very sorry to use fireman for this analogy because they are truly the absolute best! They would never eat over saving lives. I just needed a picture to paint so my analogy could be better understood.
too bad allied leaders were bereft of the scruples fireman possess.
I think Israel has waited too long. Whose air space are they going to be able to fly over to get to Iran? I'll bet the WH won't let them fly over Iraq. Turkey won't let them fly their border. Syria? Saudis? Even if they fly low over the Red Sea and Arabian Gulf, someone is bound to see them.
So if they should forge ahead and attack, which country do you think will call Abinasshat with a shoutout first? I'm sure it will be the O-bower in chief.
Regardless, the Saudis, Syrians, Jordanians, et al, will scream for Israel's head. And both the US executive and legislative branches will probably give it to them despite any outcry from Jews, Christians, etc., who avidly support Israel.
So what can/will Israel do with its military strength diminished thanks to the leftists and moderates?
it might be difficult to eliminate Khamenei, but hitting A´djad on a foreign visit should be possible.
An operation or operations against Iran would fail, just like the 2006 war against Hezbollah failed. We'd hit Iran hard early, but we'd be unable to finish the job due to the impossible logistics of landing troops in Iran. We'd be unable to stop the rockets and missiles from falling on us, just as we were in 2006. The UN would broker a ceasefire, and we'd have nothing to show for it. Iran would rebuild stronger than ever, we'd burn any goodwill that we have left, and we'd exhaust our supplies of munitions.
There is no military solution to any problem. Since the end of WWII, no war has achieved anything.
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