'Palestinian' conflict with Israel to escalate
The IDF's long-term planning assessment indicates that the conflict with the 'Palestinians' is going to escalate over the next five years.The IDF believes that it is headed toward another round of violent clashes with the 'Palestinians' following a period of relative calm.The army traditionally has pessimistic outlooks, with working plans based on "worst case scenarios." However, in the 1990s it also spoke about "a window of opportunity" to make peace with Palestinians.
According to the assessment, army intelligence officials believe that Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's plan to withdraw from surrender and expel the Jews from large parts of the West Bank will not do anything to decrease the scope of daily violence in the region.
"Palestinian society has chosen a path in which there is no compromise," a senior officer said, referring to Hamas' coming to power.
According to al-AP, the No. 1 danger to Israel, as outlined in the five-year plan, is the Iranian nuclear program, which is defined as an "existential threat to Israel." It is followed by the threat of a renewed low-intensity conflict with the Palestinians. The third level of threat is all-out war.
As a result of the intelligence assessment, it is likely that the army will shift its resources toward counter-terrorism units and away from traditional forms of warfare, such as the armor, artillery and engineering corps.
posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 8:16 PM
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