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Monday, April 17, 2006

Don't Panic on Iran

At The American Thinker, James Lewis counsels patience to both the US and Israel in dealing with Iran's nuclear threat:
Our first reaction must be to hold our fire until we pinpoint Tehran’s weak spots. In fact, the regime has some real vulnerabilities as well as a kind of mad determination to dominate the world. If the time comes to respond, it should be at a time and place of our choosing. Not Ahmadinejad’s.

That is as true for Israel as it is for the United States. Threats to destroy our two countries are hardly new. The difference, of course, is the advent of nuclear weapons that give nearby targets, like Israel and the US 5th fleet, only a few dozen seconds to respond. (The same applies to Saudi Arabia and Iran’s other neighbors, who feel scared to death).

...

Here is a prediction. Within the next 24 months the West will come to a decision that crazy maniacs armed with nukes are not acceptable, anywhere in the world. That consensus will have the tacit consent of Arab countries, which are even more at risk than Israel – believe it or not – because they have no nuclear retaliatory capacity. As the first enriched uranium is produced in Natanz or Isfahan, actions will be taken by several nations. Many of them will be covert. At some point they will become visible.

The United States and the civilized world must seize the right moment, with the right actions.

Iran’s nuclear threat is not immediate. We must never panic or react impulsively.

Don’t shoot till you see the whites of their eyes.

Read it all.

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