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Thursday, June 02, 2011

The 'Palestinian' game plan

Haaretz has gotten a copy of the 'Palestinian' game plan for September.
The document, whose contents reached Haaretz, sets a timeline for the stages the PA must go through according to the UN Charter. The General Assembly opens on September 15 in New York. Thus, to complete the procedural requirements that would lead to a General Assembly vote, the Palestinians must apply by mid-July at the latest.

According to the Palestinian plan, in mid-July Palestine will submit an official letter to the UN secretary-general asking that it be accepted as a full member of the United Nations on the basis of the June 4, 1967 borders. In this letter, the Palestinians are expected to declare that the state of Palestine accepts the principles of the UN Charter.

The secretary-general will then pass on the request to the rotating president of the Security Council, which in July will be Germany.

To receive full UN membership, the Palestinians must be recognized as meeting various international criteria for statehood, such as a territory, a people, a recognized government and more.

Erekat's document states that after the Palestinian request is received, the Security Council will convene a special committee to debate the request. This committee must submit a report to council members at least 35 days before the General Assembly opens, meaning by August 10.

Given this schedule, the PA must make its initial request to the UN secretary general by mid-July.

After the report is submitted, the Security Council will vote whether to recommend accepting Palestine as a member state or to reject the request. If the Security Council recommends UN membership - as noted, an unlikely development - the Palestinians would need support of two-thirds of the General Assembly, 128 states, to attain membership.
So who can be persuaded to vote no on the Security Council? I'd say the best bets are Colombia and Germany, but you would still need the US to exercise its veto, and no, I don't think you can take a US veto to the bank yet.

What could go wrong?

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At 12:29 AM, Blogger Sean said...

America is definitely going to use it's veto in September. Barack Obama will say, see? I care about the Jewish people! When in reality, he doesn't like them. Once he gets re-elected and becomes a lame duck president, he's going to make life very hard for Israel. I wouldn't be surprised if he lets Israel get attacked after his re-election.

At 1:44 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nope, a veto from Obama led diplomatic team not assured. Palis also have backup plan for end run around veto with General Assembly recognition only--


tho' want "full membership status" to bring international sanctions against Israel as an occupying power of a member state (for Arabs, it seems, unprovoked war against Jewish member states is OK, then again by definition, the laws of war permit occupation of member states, that's what military occupation is)

More interestingly they call for renewal of the first intifada (1987) as "political" pressure.

Israel, of course, could dust off Yitzhak Rabin's response to the campaign of riots, slingshots, intermittent armed fire--which as we recall was to "break their bones" and pull rioters into caravans and beat the crap out of them.

Fun times ahead.

At 7:34 AM, Blogger NormanF said...

The Palestinians can get a two-thirds vote in the UN General Assembly. An anti-Israel resolution will gather at least 160 votes, maybe more. And a few months remain until September.

At 10:54 PM, Blogger Jack said...

Seems that Israel's position is going from bad to worse and putting the United Stats of America in a worsening place in world opinion. For a small Zionist Jewish Israel to be in such a blundering place is really getting to be rather stupid.


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