Don't count Obama out yet
Shmuel Rosner presents this chart to bring home the message that we cannot count President Obama out in 2012 yet.
Hmmm.
posted by Carl in Jerusalem @ 2:55 AM
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5 Comments:
It depends in large part on how Obama handles his inevitable defeat at the hands of the Republicans Tuesday.
Whether he is as adroit in the face of adversity as Clinton was remains to be seen. That said, he shouldn't be counted out in 2012 yet.
My prediction: Obama will be easily re-elected in 2012.
You have to understand the power of the race factor here in the U.S. It's huge. Really, almost impossible to grasp if you don't live here right now. When it comes down to it, people will vote for Obama because of his race, whatever they think of his policies, and even his opponent (whoever it may be) will pull punches because of Obama's race. As it is all opposition to Obama's policies is demonized as "racist"--and make no mistake, there are plenty of people with whom this ploy works.
Moreover, there will be a great deal of cheating. (I suspect next Tuesday will see a lot of election malfeasance.) Voter intimidation in the U.S. is now allowed by the Justice Dept. as long as it is black-on-white. (See the disgraceful Black Panthers case, for example.)
One way and another, I absolutely do not see an Obama defeat in 2012. I doubt it will even be all that close. Not a landslide for him, perhaps, but not close, either.
Lydia - You must be joking.
The only ways Barry Hussein could be re-elected are if he steals the vote or declares martial law, which may come to that. Race will not be a factor unless he provokes a race war, which he seems to be trying to do right now.
Constitutionalists are pulling fantastic Black and Hispanic candidates (e.g. Allen West and Marco Rubio). So this negates the race excuse.
Actually, I see impeachment ahead for Barry. One can only hope.
I agree with you.
The GOP doesn't yet have a candidate who is attractive to people and he'd probably have to defend the GOP Congress's record.
Obama can present himself as a check on the Republicans.
Right now it looks like an uphill fight for the Republicans come 2012.
"So this negates the race excuse."
No, it doesn't. That's now how politics works in America. For example: Bush, Sr., appointed the first black person to the U.S. Supreme Court. All that meant was that Clarence Thomas was viciously attacked.
This sort of thing is not _rational_. You can't look at these things and say, "Oh, the GOP has great hispanic (or whatever) candidates, so their opponents _can't_ play the race card." I mean, of course they can. They can say anything they like. Increasingly our politics in the U.S. are postmodern. They aren't based on reality. They are based on what people on the left choose to say and what the media chooses to repeat. Hence, the irrational attacks on the Tea Party as "racist" for example.
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