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Thursday, July 15, 2010

'Think tank': Israeli strike against Iran would mean war

A 'think tank' called the Oxford Research Group (stated agenda: "promotes non-violent solutions to conflicts") has made the brilliant pronouncement that an Israeli attack on Iran would "be the start of a protracted conflict that would be unlikely to prevent the eventual acquisition of nuclear weapons by Iran and might even encourage it." Of course, the 'think tank' didn't think a whole lot about what the consequences of a nuclear Iran might be, nor did it even think about what other measures short of an Israeli attack might stop Iran from going nuclear.
The Oxford report estimated it might take three to seven years for Iran to develop a small arsenal of nuclear weapons if it decided to do so. It said there was no firm evidence such a decision had been taken by the Islamic Republic.

Any Israeli strike would be focused not only on destroying nuclear and missile targets but would also hit factories and research centers and even university laboratories to damage Iranian expertise, the report said.

This would cause many civilian casualties, it added.

Military action would include the direct bombing of targets in Tehran and probably include attempts to kill technocrats who managed Iran's nuclear and missile programs, the report said.
Brilliant analysis. Where can I get a throwing around pithy platitudes like that?

Yes, of course, an Israeli strike against Iran could lead to a long war. But what are the choices? The US under Obama is more likely to start rounding up Republican supporters than it is to bomb Iran. And if there is no strike, we might find ourselves living with an Iranian nuclear weapon - one that could even be set off by Hamas or Hezbullah at their whim.

What could go wrong?


At 5:46 PM, Blogger Juniper in the Desert said...

Oxford, the intellectual home of Tariq Ramadan and a business school funded by a Saudi arms dealer!

At 6:45 PM, Blogger Sunlight said...

One word comes to mind: DUH!

Someone paid these people to write that? And, as with all think tanks, they come up with no alternative action. Assuming their recommended course would be for Israel to lie down and die rather than fight, do these people think they themselves would be safe in Oxford once Israel were no longer manning the front line? People need to get out more. I wonder if these people have read Winston Churchill's River War to see how the region operates when left to themselves... except, unlike 1898, the region left to itself will smash the rest of the world with stuff they manage to get their hands on.

At 7:22 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

DUH is right. Israel has been in a long war for its entire existence. These folks just want Israel to keep it all - literally including the fallout - within her borders. Stick head in sand...


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