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Thursday, April 22, 2010

Is Netanyahu's coalition in danger?

Shmuel Rosner asks five questions with no good answers; number 3 ought to be forwarded to those in the Obama administration who are seeking 'regime change' in Israel.
3. Is Netanyahu's coalition in danger?

I don't think so. But all those wanting Netanyahu to dump the "right wing" and move to a more centrist coalition forget that Netanyahu isn't 80 years old and doesn't want this term to be his last. He can't - and will not - endanger the long-time relations with the right. Only a fool will trust Livni's and Barak's long term support.
Rosner's right. Unlike Arik Sharon, a majority of Netanyahu's Likud will not go with him if he tries to start a 'centrist' party. So he's stuck with the coalition he has. If the agitators in Labor succeed in getting Ehud Barak to pull out, it only makes it more likely - rather than less - that the coalition stays together as a narrow Right wing coalition.

We all remember 1992 and 1999.


At 3:02 PM, Blogger NormanF said...

Netanyahu has the National Union to his right and if Labor pulls out he can add them and still have a comfortable Knesset majority. In fact, Netanyahu has more options to build a rightist coalition government than he does a centrist one. But this is a fact of Israeli political life lost on the Obami in Washington.


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