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Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Obama seeking regime change in Israel

I suspect that Jeffrey Goldberg is right about this.
I've been on the phone with many of the usual suspects (White House and otherwise), and I think it's fair to say that Obama is not trying to destroy America's relations with Israel; he's trying to organize Tzipi Livni's campaign for prime minister, or at least for her inclusion in a broad-based centrist government. I'm not actually suggesting that the White House is directly meddling in internal Israeli politics, but it's clear to everyone -- at the White House, at the State Department, at Goldblog -- that no progress will be made on any front if Avigdor Lieberman's far-right party, Yisrael Beiteinu, and Eli Yishai's fundamentalist Shas Party, remain in Netanyahu's surpassingly fragile coalition.

So what is the goal? The goal is force a rupture in the governing coalition that will make it necessary for Netanyahu to take into his government Livni's centrist Kadima Party (he has already tried to do this, but too much on his terms) and form a broad, 68-seat majority in Knesset that does not have to rely on gangsters, messianists and medievalists for votes. It's up to Livni, of course, to recognize that it is in Israel's best interests to join a government with Netanyahu and Barak, and I, for one, hope she puts the interests of Israel ahead of her own ambitions.
Well, she had that opportunity a year ago and her own ambitions clearly came first.

Why would Netanyahu want to do form a government with Livni at this point? It certainly wouldn't be any more stable. You'd probably have both a Likud breakoff (the Feiglin group) and a Kadima breakoff (Mofaz who would be peeved at not being Defense Minister again) within months.

And it's not Lieberman who's preventing 'progress' on the 'peace process.' It's the 'Palestinians.'

Goldberg is probably right about what the Obami are trying to do, but Obama has misread the map here as usual.


At 4:03 PM, Blogger Daniel said...

How about those talkbacks! Anti-semitism is largely on the left
Do you hear that Jewish libs?

At 8:04 PM, Blogger tuleesh said...

It's not enough that the FAUXTUS is a human wrecking ball to the US. Now, he's taking his swings at yet another country [Remember Honduras.]?!!

May the Israeli leadership and constituancy prove to be as strong against Obameddling as the Hondurans.

At 9:33 PM, Blogger NormanF said...

The Netanyahu government is broad enough that it won't fall - and its good bet Livni won't agree to Obama's terms either because it would be political suicide for Kadima. Obama and his advisers have no real understanding of Israeli coalition politics. And a change of government in Israel isn't going to bring peace with the Palestinians any closer.

At 10:36 PM, Blogger Findalis said...

Obama believes that if he can destroy the current coalition he will bring Tzipi into power. What will happen will that Lieberman could end up as PM.

What would Obama do then?


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