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Monday, November 30, 2009

The magic number goes up

On Sunday, I reported that the magic number of 'Palestinian' terrorists to be exchanged for kidnapped IDF soldier Gilad Shalit is 980. Haaretz reports that it's actually more than that. A lot more.
The state prosecution says that both parties have committed to keeping a lid on the details as long as negotiations are underway. The new information, to the extent that there is any, relates to the number of Palestinian prisoners Israel is officially saying will be released in a deal: 980, in two stages: 450 heavy-duty prisoners whom Hamas wants freed, and another 530 terrorists whom Israel will select "as a gesture to the Palestinian people."

Throughout the negotiations, Hamas spokesmen insisted that 1,400 prisoners would be released in a swap. Has Israel gotten Hamas to fold on this demand? That's doubtful. For instance, the state's response doesn't make it clear whether the 530 prisoners include Palestinian women and youths. More prisoners may be released after the first 980. And the state's response doesn't even mention the hundreds of prisoners Israel is likely to release in the future, in a bid to furbish the image of Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas.

In other words, if the Shalit deal goes through, more than 1,000 Palestinian prisoners will be released in the coming months, possibly close to 2,000.
What could go wrong?


At 7:19 PM, Blogger NormanF said...

Its probably more than 2,000. We can only pray Hamas will demand so much that a deal will collapse. We have a supposedly right-wing government acting to please the Palestinians more than in looking after the welfare of the Jews. And that's when nothing has been forthcoming from the Palestinians in exchange for all this misguided Israeli government generosity!

At 9:50 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

The names of every prisoner released should be printed in every paper and posted on the Internet. That way, when (not if) one or more of them murders an innocent Israeli (or 10 or 100), the policy of exchanging prisoners at such absurd ratios will be exposed for the self-defeating policy it is.

I feel a great deal of sorrow for Shalit and his family. No one should ever have to go through what they've been through, and what they may yet go through. However, exchanging an end to their troubles and suffering at the expense of the (almost guaranteed) troubles and suffering of many other families in the future is a huge mistake, in my opinion.

There are no easy answers here, but unless Moschiach comes before one of the released prisoners goes into action, then this is a bad deal for the Jewish People and Israel.

At 10:47 PM, Blogger MUSHI said...

i was wondering what the hell is bibi thinking...
but then i realized something:
if you're planning to attack first hamas and hizballah, before going for iran, it's not a bad deal to get your man back and safe, cause you know what our cousins will do to him if israel attacks.

i hope that what bibi is thinking is what i realized!


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