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Friday, August 28, 2009

Obama setting Israel up to be Iran 'fall guy'?

Caroline Glick has an interesting theory of how the Obama administration will use an Israeli 'settlement freeze' to blame Israel for the inevitable change in course he is going to have make on Iran.
So unless something saves him, Obama will look like quite a fool next month. His appeasement policy has given the mullahs eight precious months of unimpeded work at their nuclear installations. Their uranium enrichment facility at Natanz is now operating some 5,000 centrifuges, with another 2,400 centrifuges about to go on line. That is an eightfold increase in centrifuge activity from a year ago.

Obama now turns to Israel to avoid embarrassment. If he can convince Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu that the White House will only get serious about Iran's nuclear weapons program if Netanyahu freezes Jewish building in Judea, Samaria and Jerusalem, then Obama can present his sudden willingness to sign on to veto-proof congressional sanctions legislation not as a consequence of his own failure, but as a result of Israeli pressure.

If Obama succeeds in getting Netanyahu on board, the American media discussion of sanctions will focus on the issue of Israeli power over US policy. The so-called Israel lobby will be pummeled as pundits argue about whether Obama was right or wrong to succumb to Israeli pressure to support congressional sanctions. No one will remember that Obama was forced to support the sanctions because he had no other choice, since next month his engagement policy will become indefensible.

On the other hand, if Israel refuses to play ball and doesn't provide Obama with a concession which he will be "forced" to pay for with a harder line on Iran, then he will still have to adopt a harder line. In this case, however, it will be attributed to the failure of his appeasement policy toward Iran rather than to the success of his Middle East diplomacy against Israel.


At 8:12 PM, Blogger NormanF said...

That is why a Netanyahu concession on the settlements makes no sense. Israel is not going to receive anything for it. And the Israeli public is tired of governments giving away the store for nothing.

What could go wrong indeed

At 8:54 PM, Blogger NormanF said...

Caroline Glick started a Hebrew satire site latma.co.il and her first video is up today. Its a funny skit of Rahm Emanuel done in the best SNL tradition. Humor allows points to be made that can't be made elsewhere. The video has English subtitles so audiences that don't speak Hebrew can follow it. Although it sounds a lot better in Hebrew.

See it here: What Israelis Think Of Rahm Emanuel

Watch the clip. You'll be glad you did!

At 9:22 PM, Blogger Carl in Jerusalem said...


I ran that video already (in fact, an Israeli originally sent it to me in Hebrew asking if I knew who could translate it) without knowing of Caroline's connection to the site.


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