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Tuesday, January 06, 2009

IAF planes over Lebanon?

Hezbullah's al-Manar television station claims that IAF planes are flying over southern Lebanon (link in Hebrew). The report notes that the planes have flown low over Bint Jbeil and Sidon.

Lebanon's Naharnet reported at 11:00 Tuesday morning that IAF planes had 'violated Lebanese airspace.' (Link to homepage - it's in the breaking news).

Naharnet also reports that IDF Chief of Military Intelligence Amos Yadlin told Israel' cabinet on Sunday that Hezbullah may launch a limited retaliatory attack.
Head of Israel's Military Intelligence Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin has reportedly said that Hizbullah might carry out a limited attack in northern Israel via a Palestinian group to avenge the Jewish state's military operation in the Gaza Strip.

Yadlin told a cabinet meeting on Sunday that "the blow Hizbullah received in 2006 made it wary of carrying out a major attack," according to Israeli daily Haaretz.

"Hizbullah might carry out a low-profile attack by means of a Palestinian organization that would be limited and not set the border on fire," Yadlin reportedly said.
I don't believe IAF planes violating Lebanese airspace is such a big deal. IAF planes have routinely violated Lebanese airspace since the end of the Second Lebanon War in 2006, because UNIFIL has never prevented Hezbullah from smuggling weapons, and at least this way Israel knows what Hezbullah has and where it has it. Violations of Lebanese airspace in and of themselves are nothing new.

On the other hand, the idea that Hezbullah might try to launch a limited attack using a 'Palestinian' terror group as a proxy - i.e. a suicide bombing among civilians - is quite plausible.

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At 5:23 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

Drudge is reporting that a UN school was hit. I doubt this really happened without Hamas interaction. If it did, while loss of life is regretable, Hamas will of course use death as a political propaganda tool. Which Israel should strongly counter, pointing out what Hamas does specifically endangers the population, while Israel takes great pains to avoid endangering the 'palis'


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