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Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Here we go: Gaza 'cease fire' broken

The Gaza 'cease fire' was broken by the 'Palestinians' late Monday night.
A mortar shell fired from the Gaza Strip landed in the western Negev despite the recent ceasefire agreement signed by Israel and armed Palestinian groups in Gaza.

No injuries or damage were reported.
The IDF will undoubtedly be ordered to turn the other cheek. After all, no casualties.


At 1:29 AM, Blogger NormanF said...

Carl - this really changes nothing on the ground. The Israeli government has been turning the cheek in the Gaza envelope for a long time now and they're going overlook and excuse Arab aggression in order to protect an agreement of dubious value. After all, its not the safety of Sderot and surrounding Negev communities Israeli politicians have ever lost any sleep over.

At 3:35 AM, Blogger Lydia McGrew said...

I appreciate your posting this, Carl. When the rockets do fall again on Sderot (next week?) and somebody is hurt or killed, I wonder what they'll do then.

At 5:24 AM, Blogger NormanF said...

Probably nothing. Even the murder of Jews won't make a difference, unless there's a massive bloodbath. That might be the only a thing that could push a government contemptuous of and indifferent to Jewish lives to actually do something about instead of doing nothing. And they'd be doing it to quell public outrage, not to actually defeat Hamas - like they had any interest in defeating Hezbollah in the last war it bungled.

At 6:20 AM, Blogger What is "Occupation" said...

Time to bomb the sh*t out of them...

What are the Israelis waiting for?

One someone attacks you must attack back 10 folder..

you know the old saying...

"You shoot at me, i blow up your village, end of story."

It's time to retrain the palestinians...

if they shoot a rocket that does not hurt anyone, it COUNTS and should be responded to with 10 rockets aim at the general area of housing that the rockets came from

At 6:48 AM, Blogger Findalis said...

It didn't even last a week. Depending on the vote Wed, I see Olmert gone by the end of the week and an IDF strike soon after.

At 7:33 AM, Blogger Carl in Jerusalem said...


Olmert won't be gone - he'll be a caretaker until after the new elections. And just who do you think is going to give the IDF the order to go into Gaza during the transition period?

At 3:55 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

The correct way to play this game is to now publicize this violation. It sounds terrible, but the worse the 'palis' violate the agreement, the better the next stage is for Israel.

The game play at this point needs to be Israel publicizing the heck out of the violations. To point out that Gazastan and its 'governement' does not keep any word on any treaty they sign. If played correctly at the UN, and in the court of world opinion, you can get support for the next stage of the game.

Please do consider that this game cannot be exited prematurely, or Israel loses. If Israel is smart enough to play this game to its conclusion, Israel wins.

Once the world sees and now accedes to the inevitable, that peace with the 'Palis' is impossible to maintain, not through Israel's misdeeds, but solely through the 'Palis', support can be built for finally ending the conflict by population transfer out of Gaza. Most 'Palis' want to go, so, make it easy for them to go. They simply need a new place to live. Somewhere else in the Middle East would work, they can move to the Sinai and Jordan. Their leaders need to be strongarmed to accept and help their bretheren though. Odd, I though arabs are supposed to be hospitable and supportive of each other.

The UNRWA needs to be disbanded, as it is obviously perpetuating this conflict.

The end game is approaching, fueled by hamas' murderous rage, and the generalized hatred and murderous rage of all islamists. As long as Israel plays this game correctly, doesn't pre-emptively abort this game, Israel will win.

I know many here despise Sharan for abandoning Gaza. I believe that Sharan, ever the masterful strategist, realized that this was win-win for Israel in the long term, if by abandoning Gaza, temporarily, the 'Palis' would show their true face. Unfortunately he was felled by a stroke midway into this game, and the current joke of a PM didn't grasp the nuances of this game, and let it end.

This game ends only positively for Israel, regardless of some portions of world opinion that will never be pro-Israel, if Israel does some specific things to give its friends cover.

Israel had a free hand in the hezbo-war. It blew it. Israel had arab countries rooting for it. And it blew it.

Jordan is now indicating that it wants part of the west bank back, sans 'palis' leadership. Even better, transfer all the people to Jordan, give them Jordanian citizenship. As long as they are peaceful, they get to stay. Keep the land for Israel. This is a different game, and one of the players indicated he is ready to make a deal.

Gaza will be the only hard game play. The 'Palis' have giftwrapped a solution for Israel, handing it to them on the tail-fin of a rocket.

All it requires is testicular fortitude, and the capability to play the game till its end. You can't leave this game, or you lose. You can't pause it, or you lose. You must play it until the end. Then you win. There is no winning strategy for the 'Palis' if played to the end. So force them to keep playing.


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